Who will win the Nobel Prize in Literature 2025?

This afternoon (October 9), the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature will be announced. Ahead of the award ceremony, many writers have been mentioned as potential "candidates".

With last year’s win by Han Kang (South Korea), the rule of alternating male and female awards has gradually been confirmed. In addition, according to observations, the Swedish Academy’s Literature Committee often awards prizes in turn between geographical regions, so it is likely that this year’s honor will belong to a male writer, from Oceania, the Caribbean or Eastern Europe.

According to Nicer Odds, which correctly predicted Annie Ernaux in 2022 and narrowly missed out on Jon Fosse in 2023, this year’s winner is Australian writer Gerald Murnane. The reclusive Australian has been hailed as “the greatest living English-language writer that most people have never heard of”, and is highly regarded by many authors, including award-winning writers Jon Fosse and JMCoetzee.

From left to right: Gerald Murnane, László Krasznahorkai and Amitav Ghosh, three promising candidates this year

PHOTO: THE GUARDIAN

There are many reasons for this hypothesis, because it has been more than 50 years since Patrick White - author of The Human Tree - was honored, Australia in particular and Oceania in general have not been named. In addition, the "guarantee" of the previous winners is also taken into account, when according to the regulations, they will be sent an invitation to nominate someone they consider worthy.

Last year, Australian writer Alexis Wright was predicted to be in 2nd place, this year she is also in the Top 10. Although the rule of awarding prizes alternately between men and women is likely to be maintained, 2 female writers Cristina Rivera Garza (Mexico) and Tan Tuyet (China) still appear in high rankings. In which Cristina Rivera Garza is a completely new face, appearing after winning the 2024 Pulitzer Prize in the memoir/autobiography category.

Coming in at number two on Nicer Odds' list is Hungarian writer László Krasznahorkai, author of two novels , War and War, and Satan's Dance . He is highly regarded for his writing style, characterized by long, complex sentences and a pessimistic view of the world today - which is also true with the conflicts happening everywhere, as the message behind the award has been very close to reality recently. Like Han Kang, he is a winner of the International Booker Prize, and has won numerous literary awards in Europe and the English-speaking world. He is followed by Haruki Murakami (Japan), Mircea Cărtărescu (Romania), Thomas Pynchon (USA), Michel Houellebecq (France) and Enrique Vila-Matas (Spain).

At the bottom of the list are other familiar names, such as Salman Rushdie (India, UK), Anne Carson, Margaret Atwood (Canada), César Aira (Argentina), Colm Tóibín (Ireland), Yoko Tawada (Japan, Germany), Ludmila Ulitskaja (Russia)... Meanwhile, writer, translator, researcher Mathilde Montpetit, who correctly predicted the 4 recent Nobel Prize winners for literature, believes that Indian author Amitav Ghosh (not on Nicer Odds' list) will be honored with his works on the ecological crisis.

Source: https://thanhnien.vn/ai-se-doat-nobel-van-chuong-2025-18525100823025101.htm