ATP Finals 2025: Will No. 1 Alcaraz survive against the "destroyer" Sinner?

(NLDO) - As expected and predicted by world tennis fans, ATP Finals 2025 had a dream final match.

When world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz defeated Felix Auger - Aliassime 2-0 (6/2, 6/4) in the semi-final match that took place early this morning, November 16, and the day before, world No. 2 Jannik Sinner defeated Alex de Minaur 2-0 (7/5, 6/2) in the semi-final, now everyone is waiting until 0:00 on November 17 to watch the final match between Big 2: Alcaraz - Sinner.

Before the 2025 ATP Finals   Theory and the past belong to Alcaraz

In 15 direct confrontations from 2021 to now, the score is leaning towards Alcaraz at 10-5, in which there were 5 meetings in 2025 and Alcaraz also had a 4-1 advantage and the two most recent wins were both finals at Master 1000 Cincinnati and US Open.

ATP Finals 2025 had a dream final

What's more remarkable is that Alcaraz's victories over Sinner all came when Sinner was at his peak and on a remarkable winning streak. Even more impressive is that Alcaraz was more courageous than Sinner when he overcame death's door many times to have more spectacular comeback wins.

It was the longest final in Roland Garros history, lasting 5 hours and 29 minutes, with Alcaraz winning: 4-6, 6-7(4/7), 6-4, 7-6(7/3), 7-6(10/2)

The Roland Garros 2025 championship was very close to Sinner, in sports terms, Sinner had more than one hand on the championship trophy when Sinner won the first two games and led 5-3 and 40-0 in the 9th game of the 3rd game. There were 3 match-point opportunities when Alcaraz served, but Sinner missed them all incredibly. This was the turning point that opened up Alcaraz's unbelievable comeback victory.

The 2025 Roland Garros championship is very close to Sinner

In fact, this is the second consecutive time when Alcaraz also overcame Sinner after escaping death in the final of the Master 1000 Rome Open on May 18, 2025.

However, from Rome Open to Roland Garros, both tournaments were played on clay courts, which is not Sinner's forte; on the contrary, this is his favorite Alcaraz court.

Meanwhile, the ATP Finals took place on Sinner's favorite indoor hard court, which was completely opposite to Alcaraz. Recently, Alcaraz even lost to world No. 27 Cameron Norrie in his first match at the Master 1000 Paris on an indoor hard court on October 29, even though Alcaraz had a record of 17 consecutive wins in the Master 1000 tournament system.

Sinner with destructive form

Sinner showed the unbelievable strength of a destroyer in Turin (Italy) when defeating Alex de Minaur 2-0 (7/5, 6/2) in the semi-finals, thereby becoming the first player in the history of the ATP Finals (since 1970) to go from the group stage to the final with 4 wins in two consecutive years without losing a set.

At the 2025 ATP Finals, Sinner repeated Djokovic's 2018 achievement to become the only male player at the tournament to reach the final without losing a serve since the ATP Tour began tracking serve in 1991, and Sinner was successful in keeping all 40 serves from the group stage until before this year's final.

Sinner shows the unimaginable power of the destroyer

Sinner is also the youngest player since Lleyton Hewitt in 2004 to reach three consecutive ATP Finals finals. Since losing to Novak Djokovic in the 2023 ATP Finals final, Sinner has won 30 consecutive matches on indoor hard courts, winning indoor titles in Rotterdam (Netherlands), Turin (Italy), Vienna (Austria), Paris (France), and helping Italy win the Davis Cup twice.

Many difficulties await Alcaraz in the 2025 ATP Finals final

With these statistics, we can easily see: Sinner is completely superior to Alcaraz when playing on indoor hard courts, where Alcaraz only entered the ATP Finals final for the first time compared to Sinner's third consecutive appearance in the final match of the last tournament of the year.

Will Alcaraz disappoint Sinner once again when Alcaraz won the Roland Garros final and cut the 21-match winning streak, thereby preventing Sinner from winning his third consecutive Grand Slam title after winning the 2024 US Open and 2025 Australian Open?

Will Alcaraz's explanation be that when he has thrown away the pressure of having to overcome Sinner to regain the world No. 1 position, the pressure that has made him no longer himself, he will show a completely different form to beat Sinner?

However, as analyzed above, indoor hard courts are not Alcaraz's forte, so his strong and diverse playing style has not yet been fully effective, especially when Alcaraz is facing the invincible Sinner on this court.

Remember, winning against Top 10 players is normal, but winning in such a destructive manner like Sinner is not normal. Moreover, Sinner is hungry for victory to bring joy to the Italian fans.

Ironically, in 15 meetings, Alcaraz and Sinner have only met once on indoor hard courts, their first meeting in 2021 at the Master 1000 Paris, and Alcaraz was the winner 2-0 (7/6, 7/5).

But that has all changed in the last four years, and the second meeting on this surface will take place on the home court of the destroyer Jannik Sinner. It would be a big surprise if world number 1 Carlos Alcaraz... survives!

Source: https://nld.com.vn/atp-finals-2025-so-1-alcaraz-co-song-sot-truoc-ke-huy-diet-sinner-196251116090809128.htm