Will it be rainy and cold on Tet Nguyen Dan At Ty?
Commenting on the weather situation during the Lunar New Year At Ty, Mr. Hoang Phuc Lam, Deputy Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, during the main days of Tet (January 27-31, that is, from the 28th of Tet to the 3rd of Tet), the North is affected by the Northeast monsoon, the temperature is approximately the average of many years, the weather is cold, the mountainous areas have severe cold, the Northeast has days of light rain and drizzle.
The North Central region has light rain in some places, cold weather. The Central and South Central regions have scattered rain and showers (rainy time is concentrated before January 28 (29th of Tet). The Central Highlands and the South: Generally little rain, sunny weather (no heat).
During the 2025 Lunar New Year, the coastal areas of the Southeast region will be affected by a high tide from January 30 to February 2, 2025 (the 2nd and 5th days of the Lunar New Year). The highest peak tide during this period could reach 4.1m, causing localized flooding in some coastal areas and river mouths.
During the Lunar New Year, At Ty, there may be increased cold air, cold weather, severe cold in mountainous areas, and light rain and drizzle in the Northeast. Photo: DV
During the Lunar New Year of At Ty, there is very little possibility of tropical cyclones appearing in the East Sea; in the period before Tet from January 17-25 (December 18-26), the Northern region will have light fog in the morning, sunny and dry during the day, and continue to be cold; the Central region, from Thanh Hoa to Hue, will be cloudy and cold; the area from Da Nang to Binh Thuan in the North will have cold nights and mornings, and light sunshine during the day; the Central Highlands and the Southern region will have heavy clouds at night and early morning, fog and light fog, sunny during the day, and no heat;
What will the hydrometeorological situation be like in 2025?
Commenting on the hydrometeorological situation in 2025, Mr. Mai Van Khiem - Director of the National Center for Hydrometeorological Forecasting said that in 2025, with the La Nina and ENSO phenomena, we assess that the occurrence of unseasonal rains in the first months of 2025 will appear with a higher probability than the average of many years, and the possibility of early rains in the Central Highlands and Central regions...
Regarding the activity of storms and tropical depressions in 2025, Mr. Hoang Phuc Lam commented that the storm season in the East Sea is likely to appear similar to the average of many years (around June), the number of storms/tropical depressions in the East Sea and affecting the mainland is likely to be at the same level as the average of many years (average of many years in the East Sea is about 11-13 storms, affecting the mainland is about 5-6 storms).
Heat waves are likely to appear similar to the average of many years: heat waves are likely to start appearing in the Southern region and the Central Highlands around the first half of March; in the Northwest region, the mountainous region of the Northwest Central region around April and in the Northeast region, the coastal region of the Central region from around May onwards. It is likely that heat waves in 2025 will not be as severe and prolonged as in 2024.
Mr. Hoang Phuc Lam, Deputy Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, informed about the weather situation during the Lunar New Year of At Ty and the hydro-meteorological situation in 2025. Photo: The Kha.
Cold air is forecast to operate at the same level as the average of many years, so there is a possibility of severe cold in the period from January to March 2025, in which it is necessary to guard against the appearance of strong cold air waves causing widespread severe cold, frost, and frost in the northern mountainous areas.
In 2025, the number of widespread heavy rains occurring nationwide will be approximately the same as the multi-year average (about 20). Widespread heavy rains are likely to start in June in the North, then gradually move south and end around December in the Central provinces.
High tides in the Southeast coast: The Southeast coast has 6 high tides, on March 1-6, March 28-April 3, April 27-May 3, October 7-13, November 4-10 and December 4-10. Of which, on November 4-10 and December 4-10, the water level at Vung Tau station can reach over 4.3m.
In the dry season of early 2025, saline intrusion in the Mekong Delta was higher than the average of many years. From February to April 2025, saline intrusion increased, affecting people's lives and agriculture in localities. However, the saline intrusion was not as serious as in the dry seasons of 2015-2016 and 2019-2020.
From March to July 2025, local drought and water shortage outside the water supply areas of irrigation works are likely to occur in the provinces from Phu Yen to Binh Thuan, Kon Tum, Gia Lai, and Dak Lak .
2024, a special year for the hydrometeorological industry
Mr. Hoang Duc Cuong, Deputy Director General of the General Department of Hydrometeorology (GDT) - said: 2024 is very special for the GDT sector. At the beginning of the year, El Nino, at the end of the year, the cold phase of La Nina, all weather patterns are shown in 2024, hot weather at the beginning of the year, heavy rain at the end of the year, especially storms and floods, and typically storm No. 3 occurred at the end of the rainy season in the North.
Accordingly, the number of storms in 2024 is approximately the average with 10 storms and 1 tropical depression, but there have been very strong storms and super storms that have caused significant impacts. In particular, storm Yagi, the storm assessed as the strongest in 30 years in the East Sea, has seriously affected Quang Ninh-Hai Phong, causing strong winds of level 10-12, gusting to level 13-15, especially at Bai Chay station with strong winds of level 14, gusting to level 17. The northeastern provinces have strong winds of level 8-10, gusting to level 12-14. Hanoi city has strong winds of level 6-7, gusting to level 9.
In 2024, in the Northern provinces, from Thanh Hoa to Quang Ngai, there were 5 large-scale floods, especially from September 7-15 due to the influence of storm No. 3 (Yagi), on most rivers in the North, there was 1 large flood and historical floods such as on the Thao River in Lao Cai, Bao Ha, Yen Bai... The water level downstream of the Red River in Hanoi has risen to 11.30m, below BĐ3: 0.2m (historical level of the past 20 years), the downstream of the Thai Binh River at Pha Lai has risen to 6.25m, above BĐ3: 0.25m, the largest flood peak since 2003.
20/25 provinces and cities in the North have experienced widespread flooding. Due to heavy rains during storm No. 3, a series of flash floods and landslides occurred in the mountainous provinces of the North, the most serious of which was the horrific flash flood that occurred on the morning of September 10, 2024 in Lang Nu, Phuc Khanh commune, Bao Yen district, Lao Cai province.
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