Iran's Supreme Leader orders military to create multiple scenarios to deal with Israel?

The New York Times quoted four Iranian officials as saying that Iran's supreme leader Ali Khamenei had ordered the country's military to come up with many military plans to respond to a potential Israeli attack.

The unnamed Iranian officials also revealed that the scope of any Iranian retaliation would depend largely on the severity of the Israeli attacks, according to The New York Times on October 24. The parties are still concerned about the risk of a more serious conflict if Israel retaliates for Iran's launch of about 200 missiles at Israel on the evening of October 1.

Iranian soldiers during a military exercise in 2020.

If Israel’s retaliatory strikes cause widespread damage and high casualties, Iran will retaliate, according to four Iranian officials. But if Israel limits its attacks to a few military bases and warehouses housing missiles and drones, Iran may do nothing.

If Israel attacks oil facilities...

According to four Iranian officials, Khamenei has ordered that a response will surely occur if Israel attacks oil and energy infrastructure or nuclear facilities, or if Israel assassinates senior officials.

The Iranian officials, including two members of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, said that if Israel caused major damage, responses under consideration included the possibility of launching a salvo of up to 1,000 ballistic missiles; escalating attacks by Iran-backed militias in the region; and disrupting the flow of global energy supplies and shipping through the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz.

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Tehran has said it does not want war, but Israeli military sanctions would pose a challenge to Iranian leaders who are keen not to appear weak, especially after Israel assassinated several leaders of Hamas and Hezbollah, both of which are backed by Iran.

"In case of an Israeli attack, our response will be proportionate and calculated," Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi told Russian media on October 23, on the sidelines of the BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia.

An Iranian missile system is displayed next to a banner with images of Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the late Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, on a street in Tehran, Iran, on October 2.

A full-scale war between Iran and Israel would add to the chaos, potentially destroying any prospects for a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon, and could lead to US military action in support of Israel.

In recent weeks, Iran has sought to strengthen its alliance with Arab countries in the region, but has also warned them that any support for Israeli attacks would make them legitimate targets. At a press conference in Kuwait on October 22, Araghchi said Iran had received assurances from its neighbors that Israeli warplanes would not be allowed to use their airspace or refuel at their bases during any attack on Iran.

Internal Iran disagreement?

Over the past week, Iranian officials have expressed conflicting views in public comments about how to respond to a potential Israeli attack. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Mr. Araghchi have vowed retaliation, but have been cautious in their statements. Meanwhile, a senior commander of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has threatened to destroy all Zionists, according to The New York Times .

"The current thinking is that if the Israeli attack is symbolic and limited, we should stop and end the series of attacks. Iran really does not want a major war with Israel. We do not see any benefit in the region erupting," Nasser Imani, a political analyst close to the Iranian government, said in a telephone interview from Tehran.

Imani said that at this stage, Tehran does not see war with Israel as an existential threat, but believes a prolonged conflict would be destructive and derail plans for negotiations with the West. The new Iranian government hopes its negotiations could lead to the lifting of tough US sanctions and improvements to Iran's struggling economy , according to The New York Times .

Source: https://thanhnien.vn/lanh-tu-toi-cao-iran-lenh-quan-doi-lap-nhieu-kich-ban-doi-pho-israel-185241025154825517.htm