Supercomputer predicts the score of Arsenal vs Bilbao match

(Dan Tri) - According to the prediction of the supercomputer Be Soccer, Arsenal may face many difficulties in their trip to Bilbao's San Mames stadium tonight.

At 11:45 p.m. today (September 16), Arsenal will begin their Champions League journey with a trip to Bilbao's San Mames Stadium. Although they are rated higher, Arsenal still risks falling due to the pitfalls at the "death ground" of San Mames.

Arsenal are expected to have a difficult match when they visit Bilbao (Photo: Getty).

Bilbao have always been highly regarded when playing in their homeland. Even at this moment, the statistics show that the Basque team has won 14 of their last 20 matches in all competitions at San Mames.

Therefore, the Be Soccer supercomputer does not really believe in Arsenal's ability to win. Accordingly, the chance for the "Gunners" to win 3 points in their away match in Bilbao is 38.1%, just slightly higher than the home team's 36.1%. Similarly, Arsenal's expected goal difference (xG) is 1.38, slightly higher than Bilbao's 1.33. The possibility of the match ending in a draw is up to 25.8%.

In terms of Bilbao winning, the most likely score is 1-0 with 8.9%. Next are 2-1 (8.1%), 2-0 (5.09%). And in terms of Arsenal winning, the most likely score is 1-0 with 9.2%. Next are 2-1 (8.4%), 2-0 (6.3%). The most likely draw is 1-1 with 12.2%.

Arsenal entered this match with a new spirit after winning 3-0 against Nottingham Forest last weekend. Among them, there were expected new recruits such as Zubimendi and Gyokeres. However, the "Gunners" also lost a series of factors in this match such as Saka, Havertz, Odegaard, Saliba, Gabriel Jesus. Those are all pillars in three lines.

Bilbao have been extremely disciplined under coach Ernesto Valverde. Despite losing 0-1 to Alaves, the Basque team have basically played well since the start of the tournament, winning their previous 3 matches. The club's number 1 star, Nico Williams, is unable to play due to injury, but the striker duo Inaki Williams and Oihan Sancet are still playing well and could be a factor that can threaten Arsenal.

Coach Ernesto Valverde's cunning could help Bilbao (Photo: Getty).

According to statistics, coach Valverde has lost only 9/42 matches as a coach in the Champions League (winning 23 matches). He has a failure rate of only 21.4%. Among Spanish coaches, only Pep Guardiola has a lower rate (17.1%).

This is the first time Bilbao have faced Arsenal in an official match. Bilbao have had two previous encounters with English clubs in the European Cup/Champions League, but both matches have been quite long. They were eliminated by Man Utd in the quarter-finals of the 1956/57 European Cup and also by Liverpool in the first round of the 1983/84 season.

Meanwhile, Arsenal have won their last three trips to Spain against Girona, Real Madrid (2024/25) and Sevilla (2023/24). All of these victories have ended 2-1.

This past summer, Arsenal and Bilbao faced off in the Emirates Cup final. Arsenal won 3-0 at home, with Viktor Gyokeres scoring the opening goal. Bukayo Saka and Kai Havertz also scored for Arsenal.

Expected lineup Bilbao vs Arsenal

Bilbao : Unai Simón, Jesús Areso, Dani Vivian, Aitor Paredes, Yury Berchiche, Íñigo Ruíz de Galarreta, Mikel Jauregizar, Iñaki Williams, Oihan Sancet, Alex Berenguer, Gorka Guruzeta.

Arsenal : David Raya, Jurrien Timber, Cristhian Muslimra, Gabriel Magalhaes, Riccardo Calafiori, Mikel Merino, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Noni Madueke, Eberechi Eze, Viktor Gyokeres.

Predictions of some newspapers in the world

Sport Mole : Bilbao 0-2 Arsenal

Sports Illustrated : Bilbao 1-3 Arsenal

Sportskeeda : Bilbao 1-3 Arsenal

The Playoff : Bilbao 0-2 Arsenal

Source: https://dantri.com.vn/the-thao/sieu-may-tinh-du-doan-ty-so-tran-arsenal-gap-bilbao-20250916143346976.htm