7 battleground states that could decide the outcome of the US presidential election
Báo Dân trí•03/09/2024
(Dan Tri) - About 240 million Americans are eligible to vote in this year's US presidential election, but the results will likely be decided by key battleground states.
According to experts, the states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin will be the battlegrounds to decide whether Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris or Republican candidate Donald Trump will become the next president in the election on November 5 this year. The campaigns of the two candidates are at a peak stage as both are focusing their efforts to win voters in these states. Arizona Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump (Photo: PA). Despite years of being a Republican stronghold, Arizona played a key role in the Democratic victory in 2020. It marked the first time the state had gone Democratic since the 1990s. That shift has made Arizona a key battleground in this year's presidential race . One of the key issues driving voters in Arizona is immigration. Arizona shares a long border with Mexico, making the state a focal point in the national debate over immigration. Although border crossings have eased to record highs, immigration remains a top concern for many voters there. Trump has latched onto the issue to repeatedly attack Harris's record, particularly her role in managing the border crisis under President Joe Biden. Trump has promised to carry out the "largest deportation campaign" in US history if he is re-elected. Another contentious issue in Arizona is abortion rights. The state is at the center of a heated debate over abortion rights, with state Republicans trying to reinstate a 160-year-old ban on abortion. While that Republican effort was thwarted, abortion issues remain a hot topic, especially after the 2022 Supreme Court decision that ended constitutional abortion rights. Those factors make Arizona an important state to watch closely as the election approaches. Georgia Georgia is another swing state that could be decisive in the 2024 election. It was one of the key battlegrounds in the 2020 election, where Trump and his allies have been trying to overturn Biden’s narrow victory. Those efforts have led to ongoing legal battles, including an indictment of Trump in Fulton County for alleged election interference. It is also one of four criminal charges he faces, although it is unlikely to be resolved before the November election. Georgia is a diverse state with one of the largest African-American populations in the country. Georgia was key to Biden’s 2020 victory. But the Democratic response from black voters has been less positive, and that could hurt Harris’ campaign. Harris’s team is working hard to appeal to this important constituency. Her team believes that strong African-American support could once again be key to winning Georgia. Michigan Michigan is also considered another key battleground, having voted for the winner in both the 2016 and 2020 elections. Currently, Michigan is leading the opposition to President Biden's support for Israel, especially in the recent conflict in Gaza. This is because Michigan's Arab-American community is the largest in the country. In the Democratic primary in February, more than 100,000 voters chose "uncommitted" on the ballot, motivated by activists opposing US military aid to Israel. This poses a challenge for Harris, as many Arab-American voters are skeptical of Biden's policies. However, Harris has taken a tougher stance on Israel, which could help her gain support from this important group of voters. On the other hand, Trump has emphasized the importance of Michigan on his path to victory. He called on Israel to quickly end its campaign against Hamas in Gaza. With both candidates focusing heavily on Michigan, voters in the state could play a key role in deciding the outcome of the election. Nevada Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris and vice presidential candidate Tim Walz (Photo: AFP). Nevada, which has voted for the Democratic candidate in several recent elections, is also considered a key battleground in 2024. Early polls showed Trump leading Biden in the state, but that advantage has eroded since Harris became the Democratic nominee. Democrats hope Harris' appeal to younger and more diverse voters will help narrow the gap with Trump. One of the main issues Nevada voters are concerned about is the economy . Despite strong economic and job growth under Biden, Nevada's post-Covid-19 recovery has lagged behind other states. The state's unemployment rate, at 5.1%, ranks third in the country behind California and Washington, DC. This economic uncertainty has made Nevada voters vulnerable to Trump's promises to cut taxes and cut some regulations. Both candidates are also focusing on Nevada's large Latino electorate, which could be a deciding factor in the election. With economic concerns at the forefront, winning over these voters will be crucial for both Harris and Trump. North Carolina North Carolina is another swing state where the race has become closer since Harris became the Democratic nominee. Some analysts have described the state as a close contest between the two candidates. Trump's focus on North Carolina was evident when he chose the state for his first outdoor rally since the assassination in late July. "A win in North Carolina would mean a lot," Trump told supporters at the rally. For their part, Democrats have also recognized the importance of North Carolina. Speaking at the Democratic National Convention last month, Gov. Roy Cooper emphasized the party’s commitment to winning the state. North Carolina shares many of the same concerns as Georgia and Arizona, especially on economic and social issues. Trump led Biden in the state in 2020 by just over 70,000 votes. The close result has raised hopes that Democrats can reverse the state’s loss in 2024. Pennsylvania Pennsylvania, a key state in the 2020 election, is again a key battleground. Biden, who has deep ties to the city of Scranton where he grew up, won the state in 2020. But as across the country, the economy is a top issue in Pennsylvania. Inflation may have eased, but cost-of-living pressures remain a significant concern for voters there. Pennsylvanians understand the impact of rising prices more than any other state. That could pose a challenge for Harris, as polls show that inflation is causing voters to view the economy negatively. Trump has sought to exploit those concerns to attack Harris, tying her to the economic challenges of a Biden administration. With both campaigns investing heavily in Pennsylvania, voters in the state will play a key role in determining the outcome. Wisconsin , like Michigan, voted for the winning presidential candidate in both 2016 and 2020. In recent elections, the state has been decided by extremely close margins, making Wisconsin voters particularly vulnerable to third-party candidates. Polls show independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leading the race. could attract significant support in Wisconsin, which could affect the votes of Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump. The Democrats are also concerned about the presence of Green Party candidate Jill Stein. They argue that the Green Party has not complied with state election law and have filed a complaint to remove candidate Stein from the ballot. In addition, the party has also filed a complaint against candidate Cornel West, to reduce competition in the race in Wisconsin. Mr. Trump emphasized the importance of Wisconsin when he said: "If we win Wisconsin, we win the election." The Republican National Convention held in Milwaukee recently emphasized the importance of this state to Mr. Trump's campaign. Ms. Harris is also campaigning in Milwaukee when the Democratic Party officially nominated her as a presidential candidate. In general, the 7 battleground states will be a tough and fierce front for the 2 candidates in the coming period if they want to win the November election.
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