Coffee prices on October 24, 2025: Robusta fell nearly 4%, Arabica left the peak due to rain forecast

Coffee prices on October 24, 2025 fell sharply: Robusta lost nearly 4%, Arabica left its 8.5-month peak due to rain forecasts in Brazil and Vietnam, low inventories supported prices.

Global coffee prices fell sharply on October 24, 2025, with robusta losing nearly 4% and arabica following suit as forecasts of rain in Brazil and Vietnam eased drought concerns. Low inventories remained supportive of prices, keeping them relatively high amid market volatility.

Domestic coffee prices in the Central Highlands

The coffee market in the Central Highlands remained stable on October 24, 2025, with prices ranging from VND 117,000 to VND 118,500/kg in key provinces.

In Lam Dong , the transaction price was at 117,000 - 118,500 VND/kg, unchanged from the previous session.

Dak Lak , a region famous for its high-quality coffee, reached VND118,500/kg. This figure reinforces the province’s leading role in providing quality products.

Gia Lai recorded 118,000 VND/kg, maintaining a stable supply and making an important contribution to both domestic and international markets.

Coffee prices on the world market

Robusta futures prices on the exchange closed on 24/10/2025 with a high of 4554 for the 11/25 term and a low of 4334 for the 07/26 term. All terms decreased.

The 11/25 term closed at 4554, down 185 points or 3.89%.

The 01/26 term closed at 4521, down 173 points or 3.68%, with the lowest absolute decrease.

Term 03/26 reached 4445, down 183 points equivalent to 3.94%, the strongest percentage decrease.

The 05/26 term closed at 4387, down 179 points or 3.91%.

07/26 term at 4334, down 170 points or 3.76%, with strong selling pressure across the market.

For arabica, the futures contract price closed highest at 410.15 for 12/25 expiry and lowest at 340.95 for 09/26 expiry, all tenors decreased significantly.

12/25 term at 410.15, down 10.70 points or 2.53%, the biggest absolute drop.

Term 03/26 reached 389.75, down 9.00 points or 2.25%.

05/26 term at 373.45, down 8.75 points or 2.28%.

Term 07/26 reached 356.90, down 9.05 points or 2.46%.

The 09/26 term closed at 340.95, down 9.85 points or 2.80%, the sharpest percentage drop, reflecting bearish sentiment.

Market analysis and forecast

Arabica prices are likely to fall further if rains in Brazil, as forecast, ease drought concerns. Low inventories will limit the decline, keeping prices high.

Robusta prices may stabilize thanks to supplies from Vietnam, where crop damage risks are reduced. Pessimistic sentiment in the futures market could still drag prices down in the short term.

In Brazil, a prolonged drought in Minas Gerais and other coffee-growing regions could impact the 2026-2027 crop, pushing up arabica prices if the weather does not improve.

Vietnam maintains stable robusta supply, but prices depend on global demand and upcoming weather fluctuations.

Uganda is seeing a sharp increase in production thanks to expanding planting areas, putting downward pressure on global robusta prices, especially if other countries increase production.

Low inventories support medium-term prices, especially for arabica, where limited supply could push prices up if demand picks up.

Weather fluctuations, such as inaccurate forecasts or sudden changes in Brazil and Vietnam, can cause strong price fluctuations.

Falling global demand due to economic recession or changes in consumer habits will put downward pressure on prices.

Farmer support policies in Uganda and other countries could increase supply, negatively affecting robusta prices.

Overall, coffee prices are under pressure from positive weather in Brazil and Vietnam, but low inventories and steady demand provide support. In the short term, prices are trading around current levels, with robusta more stable than arabica. In the long term, the Brazilian drought and Ugandan production will shape the trend. Investors and farmers should monitor weather forecasts and inventory data to make decisions.

Source: https://baolamdong.vn/gia-ca-phe-ngay-24-10-2025-robusta-giam-sau-gan-4-arabica-roi-dinh-do-du-bao-mua-397525.html