Unexpected developments in coffee prices
At 5:00 a.m. on July 15, 2025, at the London floor, Robusta coffee prices suddenly turned around and increased sharply, fluctuating between 3,084 - 3,551 USD/ton, an increase of 273 - 303 USD/ton compared to the previous day.
The specific prices are as follows: Delivery in September 2025 is 3,519 USD/ton; November 2025 is 3,465 USD/ton; January 2026 is 3,419 USD/ton; March 2026 is 3,390 USD/ton and May 2026 is 3,362 USD/ton.
On the New York floor, Arabica coffee prices also increased sharply at the end of the session, with increases ranging from 12.95 to 15.35 cents/lb, to 270.65 - 303.65 cents/lb.
Specifically, the delivery price for September 2025 is 301.85 cents/lb; December 2025 is 294.85 cents/lb; March 2026 is 288.20 cents/lb; and May 2026 is 282.60 cents/lb.
For Brazilian Arabica coffee, short-term futures prices recorded a slight recovery while long-term futures remained under downward pressure, ranging from 339.75 to 380.00 USD/ton.
Detailed prices include: July 2025 is 380.00 USD/ton; September 2025 is 373.00 USD/ton; December 2025 is 363.60 USD/ton; and March 2026 is 339.75 USD/ton.
Domestic market adjusted down simultaneously
As of 5:00 a.m. this morning, July 15, 2025, domestic coffee prices continued to decline, contrary to the stable trend last weekend. Currently, the average price in key areas is recorded at 88,200 VND/kg.
In Lam Dong , traders are purchasing coffee at 88,500 VND/kg, down 1,800 VND/kg compared to the previous day.
In Dak Lak , coffee price is currently 88,300 VND/kg, down 2,000 VND/kg compared to yesterday.
Coffee prices in Gia Lai also decreased by VND 1,900/kg compared to before and are currently fluctuating at VND 88,300/kg.
In particular, in Ward 1, Bao Loc, Hoa Ninh, Duc Trong and Dinh Van Lam Ha communes of Lam Dong province, the price was recorded at VND88,000/kg, down VND1,500/kg compared to the previous session.
Experts say that domestic coffee prices are likely to continue to decline this week as the market is currently trading very slowly. The main reason is that the harvest season has ended, while supplies from Indonesia and Brazil have begun to return.
Pressure from Indonesia and Brazil starting to release new coffee crops has added to the gloomy trading atmosphere. Some businesses said that the recent weather has been quite favorable with abundant rains, ensuring the upcoming coffee supply.
In the international market, coffee prices recorded a clear differentiation between the two exchanges; Arabica continued to increase slightly, while Robusta weakened significantly.
The Import-Export Department (Ministry of Industry and Trade) said that global coffee prices are currently under downward pressure from excess supply, including large output from Brazil and Indonesia, along with soaring exports from Vietnam - the leading country in Robusta output.
According to the latest report from the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), Brazil's coffee output in the 2025-2026 crop season (from July 2025 to June 2026) is expected to reach 65 million bags (60 kg), a slight increase of 0.5% compared to the previous crop.
The USDA report also indicated that Vietnam's coffee output in the 2025-2026 crop year was revised up to 1.85 million tons, up nearly 7% compared to the 2024-2025 crop year - the highest increase in four years.
In addition, the price decline was also due to strong selling pressure from speculators on international exchanges, especially in the context of the US continuing to impose high tariffs on many countries. At the same time, the strengthening of the USD against major currencies also kept coffee prices restrained.
Pepper prices continue to trend down
Updated at 5:00 a.m. on July 15, 2025, the domestic pepper market decreased by 1,000 VND/kg in all localities. The average price in key regions is currently at 138,600 VND/kg.
In Gia Lai province, pepper price decreased by 1,000 VND/kg compared to the previous session, currently reaching 138,000 VND/kg.
Ho Chi Minh City also recorded a similar decrease, the current purchase price is 138,000 VND/kg.
Dak Lak is not out of the trend when pepper prices here decrease, currently traded at 140,000 VND/kg.
In Dong Nai, pepper price today is recorded at 138,000 VND/kg, down 1,000 VND/kg compared to yesterday.
Lam Dong also recorded pepper prices falling to 139,000 VND/kg, a decrease of 1,000 VND/kg compared to before.
World pepper market adjusts strongly
According to the International Pepper Community (IPC), at 5:00 a.m. on July 15, 2025, global pepper prices began to fall sharply after a long period of stability; Brazilian pepper dropped to 425 USD/ton; Indonesian pepper dropped from 85 to 153 USD/ton; other markets remained unchanged.
Specifically, IPC said that the price of Indonesian Lampung black pepper is currently trading at 7,240 USD/ton; while Muntok white pepper is at 10,092 USD/ton.
In Malaysia, ASTA black pepper prices remained stable at USD 8,900/ton, while ASTA white pepper was sold at USD 11,750/ton.
Pepper prices in Brazil are falling sharply, currently only 5,800 USD/ton - a decrease of 425 USD/ton.
Meanwhile, the export price of Vietnamese pepper remains stable after many increases, currently the price of 500 g/l black pepper is 6,440 USD/ton; 550 g/l is 6,570 USD/ton and white pepper is priced at 9,150 USD/ton.
Although domestic prices have slightly decreased today, the general level is still higher than the same period last year. According to experts, this is a necessary adjustment in the long-term upward trend of the market. If export activities develop positively, prices may return to the range of 142,000 - 145,000 VND/kg by the end of this month.
In the first half of 2025, Vietnam exported about 137,000 tons of pepper, bringing in $556 million. Compared to the same period last year, output decreased by more than 14%, but thanks to rising prices, turnover still increased by 5.3%. Last week alone, pepper export prices increased by $200/ton due to the impact of the US's high tax policy on pepper from Indonesia and Brazil.
Facing favorable price trends, experts advise farmers to consider selling in increasing batches to avoid mass sales. For businesses, improving processing technology, controlling chemical residues and tracing origins are considered key factors to enter demanding markets such as the US, EU and Japan.
If the market continues to recover steadily, many experts predict that pepper prices will reach VND160,000/kg in early 2026, marking a transition to a new growth cycle for the Vietnamese pepper industry.
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Source: https://doanhnghiepvn.vn/kinh-te/gia-nong-san-ngay-15-7-2025-ca-phe-lao-doc-bat-ngo/20250715085136757
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