The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said: Currently, the ENSO phenomenon is in neutral phase, forecast from July to September this year, it is likely to change to La Nina state with a probability of 65 - 75%.
La Nina likely to arrive in July
Also during this period, there is a possibility of about 5-7 storms/tropical depressions (TDPs) appearing in the East Sea, of which about 2-3 will make landfall. On average, the number of storms/TDPs during this period is 6-7, of which about 3 will make landfall in Vietnam. There is a possibility of storms/TDPs forming right in the East Sea.
The East Sea may welcome 7 storms in the next 2 months
Storms/tropical low pressure and southwest monsoon are likely to cause strong winds and large waves affecting activities in the East Sea. Heat waves will affect daily life and production activities, especially in the second half of June - July in the North and Central regions where the heat may be more severe. In addition, heavy rain, thunderstorms, tornadoes, and lightning are likely to negatively affect production activities and community life in affected areas.
Notably, despite the transition to La Nina, from July to September, the average temperature is generally 0.5 - 1 degree Celsius higher than the average of many years in the same period.
In the Northern region, heat waves will continue until August and will be concentrated mainly in July. In the Central region, heat waves will continue until September, and will be concentrated mainly in July and August. Heat waves and severe heat waves are likely to occur more frequently than the average of many years during the same period.
Source: https://thanhnien.vn/la-nina-sap-den-bien-dong-kha-nang-don-7-con-bao-trong-2-thang-toi-18524061617362879.htm
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