Man Utd vs Brighton Prediction 11:30 PM October 25: Red Devils Find Themselves Again

MU vs Brighton Prediction 25.10.2025 - Ruben Amorim looks for a third straight win but faces a team that has won three times in a row at Old Trafford. Tactical analysis, expected lineup and score prediction.

When Old Trafford is no longer MU's fortress

There are some numbers that make Man Utd (MU) fans shudder. Brighton have won three consecutive games at Old Trafford - a feat only Manchester City have ever achieved in history (5 games between 1968-1972). Fabian Hurzeler's team don't just come to Old Trafford to defend - they come to conquer.

Will MU (left) win convincingly?

Photo: Reuters

This match on 25 October 2025 is not just a match between two teams separated by a point in the standings. This is the story of Ruben Amorim - a man looking for stability after a historic win at Anfield, facing a confident Brighton side with a bold style of play and the ability to exploit the weaknesses of their opponents.

Amorim and the unsolved tactical problem

Almost a year since arriving at Old Trafford, Ruben Amorim is still struggling with his 3-4-2-1 system. According to analysis from The Guardian , this formation creates serious structural flaws - especially a lack of numbers in the center and on the wings.

MU (red shirt) need to restore both spirit

The 2-1 win over Liverpool was a testament to their fighting spirit, but also exposed inherent problems. BBC Sport points out that Amorim’s 5-2-3 system requires players to stick to rigid zones, with full-backs always in wide positions and central midfielders in central positions. This leaves United vulnerable to opponents applying man-marking across the pitch.

The biggest problem? With the full-backs pushed high and no centre-backs stepping forward, the two central midfielders had to cover huge amounts of space. Brighton, with their philosophy of occupying space and switching quickly, were the ideal team to exploit this weakness.

The missing pieces of the Red Devils

Bruno Fernandes has only three goal assists this season (2 goals, 1 assist), but those contributions have earned Man United six points - behind only Antoine Semenyo (9) and Jack Grealish (7). The Portuguese captain is often criticised for playing long balls rather than keeping the ball, but that may be on the instructions of Amorim - who wants to free up strikers or full-backs to run into space in behind.

Matheus Cunha has had more shots from carry than any other Premier League player this season (12), but is yet to score for United. Bryan Mbeumo has only scored more goals against Southampton (8) than Brighton (6 - 3 goals, 3 assists), and all six of those assists have come in his last four games against the Seagulls.

But could Benjamin Sesko - who is 1.95m tall and much better at aerial duels than Rasmus Hojlund - be the missing piece? The Slovenian could be the fulcrum United need to exploit the pace of Cunha and Mbeumo.

Brighton: When flexibility becomes a weapon

If Amorim has been criticised for being too rigid with his 3-4-2-1 formation, Fabian Hurzeler is the opposite model. The young German coach has turned Brighton into one of the most unpredictable teams in the Premier League with his 'empty center' philosophy.

Brighton typically start in a 4-2-4 formation in the build-up phase, but can switch to a 4-3-3, 3-3-4, or even a 2-3-2-3 depending on how the opposition press. According to Total Football Analysis, Hurzeler places an emphasis on occupying space between the opposition’s defensive lines, creating massed situations in key areas.

Former Manchester United player Danny Welbeck is in incredible scoring form, with four goals in his last three Premier League games, more than he had in his previous 15 combined (three). The 34-year-old scored twice against both Chelsea and Newcastle, and Hurzeler admitted he considered substituting Welbeck before the former Manchester United man scored the decisive goal in the 84th minute against Newcastle.

The "fatal" weakness of both teams

Man Utd: United's defence has conceded 11 goals in their first seven games - a significant increase on last season. When playing with three centre-backs, they often leave space just in front of the box, where opponents can pass the ball freely. Brighton - with their ability to play vertically and create 2v1 situations on the flanks - will target this weakness.

Brighton: The Seagulls' defence has kept just one clean sheet in their last 20 Premier League games (a 2-0 win over Wolves in May). Despite losing just two of their last 13 (7 wins, 4 draws), they have spent 38.1% of their games behind on points - more than they have been ahead (24.1%). With Kaoru Mitoma, Joel Veltman, Diego Gomez and Brajan Gruda all questionable for fitness, Brighton's defence could struggle against the pace of Mbeumo and Cunha.

Battle in the midfield: Where the match is decided

Carlos Baleba - who was heavily linked with a move to Man Utd in the transfer window - will go head-to-head with Bruno Fernandes. The Cameroon midfielder had a slow start due to transfer rumours but is now starting to find his form. Baleba's ability to clear the ball and transition quickly will be key to Brighton controlling the tempo of the game.

For Man United, Casemiro or Manuel Ugarte? This is the big question for Amorim. Casemiro brings experience but lacks pace at 33. Ugarte is more dynamic but has limited passing ability. Kobbie Mainoo - a young talent capable of slowing down the game - is rarely used in Amorim's system.

When the past becomes an obsession

The last meeting between the two sides at Old Trafford (January 2025) was a disaster for Man United. Brighton won 3-1 with goals from Yankuba Minteh, Kaoru Mitoma and Georginio Rutter, while Andre Onana's incredible mistake left Old Trafford more than half empty at the final whistle.

Man United have lost six of their last seven Premier League games against Brighton (W1) - twice as many as they lost in their first 17 meetings (W12 D2 L3). This is not just a statistic - it is a psychological trauma that Amorim must help his players overcome.

Expected tactical diagram

Man Utd (3-4-2-1):

• Goalkeeper: Lammens
• Defense: De Ligt, Maguire, Shaw
• Midfielders: Amad Diallo, Casemiro, Fernandes, Dalot
• Forwards: Mbeumo, Cunha, Sesko

Brighton (4-2-3-1):

• Goalkeeper: Verbruggen
• Defense: Wieffer, Dunk, Van Hecke, Kadioglu
• Midfielders: Baleba, Ayari
• Forwards: Minteh, Rutter, De Cuyper, Welbeck

Prediction: A match of mistakes

Opta Supercomputer predicts a 37.7% chance of Man Utd winning, 35.9% chance of Brighton winning, and a 26.4% chance of a draw. These numbers reflect the incredible balance between the two teams.

Both teams have a tendency to concede goals in unnecessary situations. United with an inconsistent defence and Onana prone to mistakes. Brighton with a habit of letting opponents equalise after taking the lead. This will be an open game, with plenty of goals and drama.

Match information:

• Match: Man Utd vs Brighton
• Time: October 25, 2025, 11:30 p.m. (Vietnam time)
• Location: Old Trafford, Manchester

Score prediction: Man Utd 2-2 Brighton

Amorim will find goals from their new attacking weapons, but Brighton - with their Old Trafford experience and fluid style of play - will not be easily defeated. A dramatic draw is the most likely outcome, with both teams desperate for three points to secure a top-six finish. Welbeck could haunt his former club again, while Sesko will be keen to make an impressive debut with his first goal at Old Trafford.

Source: https://thanhnien.vn/nhan-dinh-man-utd-vs-brighton-23h30-2510-quy-do-tim-lai-chinh-minh-185251024144714044.htm