Coffee price forecast for tomorrow, May 22, 2025, 'gloomy' market

Update on world coffee prices on the afternoon of May 21 - red market dominates.

On the London floor, updated at 4:25 p.m. on May 21, 2025, the end of the trading session, Robusta coffee prices decreased slightly, a decrease of 20 - 26 USD/ton compared to the previous trading session, fluctuating between 4,766 - 4,922 USD/ton. Specifically, the delivery price for July 2025 is 4,882 USD/ton; the delivery price for September 2025 is 4,873 USD/ton; the delivery price for November 2025 is 4,833 USD/ton and the delivery price for January 2026 is 4,766 USD/ton.

People in Dak Lak province harvest coffee

Similarly, the price of Arabica coffee on the New York floor on the afternoon of May 21 turned down slightly, down from 1.30 - 2.30 cents/lb compared to yesterday's trading session, fluctuating from 353.05 - 371.30 cents/lb. Specifically, the delivery period for July 2025 is 368.00 cents/lb; the delivery period for September 2025 is 365.10 cents/lb; the delivery period for December 2025 is 359.85 cents/lb and the delivery period for March 2026 is 353.40 cents/lb.

At the end of the trading session on the afternoon of May 21, the price of Brazilian Arabica coffee also showed a slight downward trend, decreasing from 1.05 - 8.40 USD/ton, fluctuating from 436.40 - 468.65 USD/ton. Recorded as follows: May 2025 delivery period is 468.65 USD/ton; July 2025 delivery period is 464.05 USD/ton; September 2025 delivery period is 453.10 and December 2025 delivery period is 438.25 USD/ton.

Domestic coffee prices - market turns down.

According to information from Giacaphe.com, at 4:00 p.m. today, May 21, 2025, coffee prices in the Central Highlands region turned to decrease, a decrease of 1,500 VND/kg compared to yesterday's trading session. Currently, the average coffee purchase price in key areas is at 125,100 VND/kg.

Domestic coffee price list updated on the afternoon of May 21, 2025

Specifically, today's coffee price in Dak Lak is 125,000 VND/kg, coffee price in Lam Dong is 124,500 VND/kg, coffee price in Gia Lai is 125,000 VND/kg and coffee price in Dak Nong today is 125,200 VND/kg.

The domestic coffee prices that Giacaphe.com lists every day are calculated based on the prices of two world coffee exchanges combined with continuous surveys from businesses and purchasing agents in key coffee growing areas across the country.

Coffee price forecast tomorrow 5/22/2025 - market down.

Recorded on May 21, the domestic coffee market suddenly decreased sharply compared to yesterday's volatile increase.

Experts say the decline in coffee prices is taking place amid a combination of unfavorable factors. On the one hand, investors are taking profits after a strong rally earlier this month. On the other hand, favorable weather in Brazil and Vietnam is reinforcing expectations of improved supply, especially as the Robusta harvest in Brazil has begun.

In addition, the USD/Brazilian Real exchange rate has increased again, making this country's coffee cheaper on the international market, stimulating farmers to sell more, creating downward pressure on prices on the floor. In addition, investment funds still hold large net buying positions but are gradually reducing the scale, showing that the defensive mentality is returning before the Brazilian winter - a factor that always has the potential for unexpected weather risks.

According to experts, although Vietnam is one of the world's leading coffee exporting countries, it still mainly exports raw coffee. Expert Nguyen Quang Binh explained that it is completely normal for Vietnam to focus on exporting raw coffee, especially when international transactions are mainly conducted on trading floors using this type of commodity.

One of the major barriers preventing Vietnam from promoting deep processing is the scale of production. Currently, the country produces about 1.6 - 1.8 million tons of coffee per year, but 90% of that comes from small-scale producers, each garden only produces a few tons.

Tuan My

Source: https://congthuong.vn/du-bao-gia-ca-phe-ngay-mai-2252025-thi-truong-am-dam-388662.html