Arsenal (right) beat PSG in the group stage - Photo: REUTERS
In the group stage, Arsenal defeated PSG 2-0. That defeat also opened the darkest period of coach Luis Enrique's time at the Parc des Princes.
PSG had failed to win three consecutive games after losing to Arsenal, falling into a dangerous situation in the Champions League. But a winning streak in the last three rounds helped them make a spectacular comeback.
The situation is different when the two teams meet again in the semi-finals. Both teams have played impressively in the Champions League, but PSG are still in good form and have many advantages.
First is the list of absent players. While PSG has a full squad, Arsenal is missing at least 6 key players, the latest being midfielder Thomas Partey due to suspension. Some other key players such as Merino and Calafiori have not fully recovered.
Arsenal also suffered physical disadvantages when having to compete in the Premier League, while PSG "finished early, rested early" in Ligue 1. Although they are no longer competing for the championship, the "gunners" still cannot completely give up in the domestic league because they are still at risk of falling out of the top 5.
However, bookmakers still rate Arsenal as the stronger team in this match, with a handicap of 0.25 goals for the whole match and a draw in the first half.
According to Sportsmole's computer data, Arsenal's chances of winning the match are 41.6%, while PSG's are 33.9%. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw (11.4%).
The over/under ratio for the whole match is 2.5 goals, and in the first half it is 1 goal. Although not high, this is a difficult number to achieve if Arsenal wants to focus on playing defense in the first leg.
On the other hand, the absence of centre-back Gabriel and powerful midfielder Partey has significantly weakened Arsenal's defensive capabilities. Sportsmole's computer data predicts a 56% chance of the match scoring 3 or more goals.
Expected lineup:
Arsenal : Raya; Timber, Saliba, Kiwior, Lewis-Skelly; Odegaard, Rice, Merino; Saka, Trossard, Martinelli.
PSG : Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves; Barcola, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia.
Prediction: 1-1 draw in the first half, 2-2 draw in the final.
Source: https://tuoitre.vn/du-doan-ti-so-champions-league-arsenal-khong-thang-noi-psg-20250428204055547.htm
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