Walking on a tightrope

The new Thai government's arguments for the necessity of a new constitution are essentially valid, as they believe a new constitution is needed to truly heal the wounds inflicted by the military coup and to ensure democracy in the country.

Thai Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin

In reality, this plan carries considerable risks and uncertainties for the newly formed government in Thailand. The current constitution is essentially a product of the military regime of former Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha. It ensures that the military in Thailand still retains a very decisive role, position, and influence even if they no longer directly hold power or only participate in regency as they do now. This constitutional change will certainly be seen by the military in Thailand as a challenge, or even a declaration of war in name.

Historical experience in Thailand shows that military coups can happen unexpectedly at any time. The results of the recent parliamentary elections reflect the prevailing sentiment among the Thai people: they do not support a military coup to overthrow the elected civilian government. The Thai military will wait to see the specifics of the new constitution before deciding on a course of action. The Thai government is well aware that choosing to walk a tightrope means accepting the risks and dangers involved.

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