Coffee price today November 4: Rain in Central region cannot stop the recovery momentum

Domestic coffee prices increased on the morning of November 4, recovering after a series of declines; World Arabica prices increased sharply, Robusta made a technical adjustment.

Domestic coffee prices today increased, recovering after a series of adjustment sessions.

On the morning of November 4, the Central Highlands coffee market recorded a slight increase compared to the previous day. The average purchase price reached 116,900 VND/kg.

In Dak Lak , the price reached 117,000 VND/kg, an increase of 200 VND.

Lam Dong fluctuates from 115,600 - 117,000 VND/kg, up 100 VND.

Gia Lai maintained the level of 116,500 VND/kg, stable compared to the previous session.

This increase took place in the context of a general improvement in world coffee prices, helping domestic market sentiment become more positive.

In Vietnam, prolonged rainy weather in the central region is affecting the harvest progress and quality of Robusta coffee. However, the country’s coffee acreage has expanded to 764,400 hectares, up 2.3% from the previous year. Thanks to the application of new varieties and improved farming techniques, the 2025/26 crop year output is forecast to increase by about 120,000 tonnes.

Global inventories are falling rapidly. As of October 29, ICE-monitored Arabica stocks stood at 446,475 bags, the lowest in 1.5 years; Robusta stocks at 6,111 lots, the lowest in more than three months. In the US, roasters continue to clear inventory, while trade negotiations with Brazil could have a significant impact on import costs.

According to the Vietnam Customs Department, in the 2024/25 crop year, Europe will remain the largest consumer market for Vietnamese coffee with over 710,000 tons (accounting for 47.2%), reaching a turnover of over 4 billion USD. Germany, Italy and Spain respectively lead in imports.

Meanwhile, Uganda – Africa’s largest coffee exporter – reported September 2025 production of 844,949 bags, up 59% year-on-year. Twelve-month revenue reached $2.2 billion, up 57%, cementing the East African nation’s place on the world coffee map.

World market rebounds strongly in Arabica, Robusta makes technical adjustment

On the New York floor (ICE Futures US), Arabica increased simultaneously in all major terms.

The November 2025 contract increased 26 cents/pound (+0.57%) to 4,550 cents/pound.

January 2026 increased by 99 cents/pound (+2.18%) to 4.639 cents/pound – the highest level in recent times.

Further maturities such as March and May 2026 also increased by more than 2%, reflecting positive expectations for consumption demand and concerns about supply disruptions from South America.

On the London floor, Robusta traded sideways.

December 2025 increased by 9.10 USD/ton (+1.91%) to 484.30 USD/ton.

March 2026 increased by 12.15 USD/ton (+2.67%) to 466.95 USD/ton.

However, further maturities fell slightly, suggesting the market is in a correction phase after a series of consecutive increases.

Analysts say the current price level reflects a temporary balance between supply and demand. If adverse weather conditions in South America and the Central Highlands persist, coffee prices could continue to rise.

The global coffee market is in a cautious recovery phase, largely influenced by weather factors and trade policies. In the short term, prices may fluctuate narrowly or decline slightly, but the medium-term trend is still inclined to increase as demand stabilizes and supply gradually tightens.

For Vietnam, investing in science and technology and value chain innovation is considered the key to maintaining its position as the world's leading Robusta exporter, while increasing sustainable value for this key industry.

Source: https://baolamdong.vn/gia-ca-phe-hom-nay-4-11-mua-mien-trung-khong-chan-duoc-da-phuc-hoi-399766.html