Forecast of D01 block floor score to decrease dramatically

Analysis of the D01 score spectrum shows that universities whose main source of admission is candidates from the D01 group are forced to lower their 'floor' by 4 to 6 points if they want to have the same number of admissions as last year.

Based on the exam data of the Ministry of Education and Training, Thanh Nien Newspaper analyzed the recruitment sources of some traditional admission groups. Through the D01 score spectrum, it shows that the recruitment sources of this group this year have decreased dramatically in both quantity and score.

Source of recruitment for D01 group in 2025, calculated from 15 points or more

GRAPHICS: PHAM THANH HA

According to the Ministry of Education and Training, the whole country has 1,137,183 candidates registered for the 2018 generaleducation program (the number of candidates for the 2006 program is insignificant, so in this article we only talk about candidates for the 2018 program). Of which, 351,484 students took the English exam, only 39% of last year (last year, English was a compulsory subject, so the whole country had 906,549 students taking the exam).

Analysis of the Ministry of Education and Training's exam data shows that nationwide, there are 350,654 candidates taking all three subjects: Math, Literature, and English, which are also the three subjects that make up the D01 admission group. This is the admission group with the largest source of candidates among the five traditional groups (A00, A01, B00, C00, D01).

The highest score was 29, and there was only 1 candidate. From 28 points and above, there were 21 candidates nationwide. From 28.25 and above, there were only 7 candidates; from 28.5 and above, there were 4 candidates; from 28.75 and above, there were only 2 candidates.

Comparison of D01 recruitment sources in the last 3 years

GRAPHICS: PHAM THANH HA

There are 291,186 candidates who scored 15 points or more. Meanwhile, the equivalent number of candidates in 2024 scored 21.25 points or more, and in 2023 scored 20.75 points or more. Thus, to have the same number of candidates of about 300,000 candidates in the D01 group, the "floor" score this year is 15, while in previous years it was around 21 points, a difference of nearly 6 points.

There are 193,775 candidates who scored 18 points or more. The equivalent number of recruitment sources in 2024 is about 22.5 points, in 2023 is about 22 points. The "floor" of recruitment sources differs by about 4 points.

The higher the score, the narrower the "floor" difference in recruitment sources. There are 109,524 candidates with scores of 20 or more. This is the number of recruitment sources equivalent to the "floor" level of 24 points last year (104,989), and 23.5 points in 2023.

This year, Foreign Trade University announced the admission threshold of 24 points (the school said that this threshold will be adjusted based on exam results). If the school still wants to maintain the same number of admission sources as last year, the school's threshold will have to be lowered by about 4 points.

If the "floor" score of 24 points is maintained, the recruitment source of Foreign Trade University and schools focusing on the recruitment source of D01 combination will only be 12,186 students. Lowered to 23 points, the recruitment source will only be 25,184 students.

Some top universities have set a threshold score for receiving applications for admission (the "floor" score). However, when announcing the "floor" score for receiving applications, the schools all said that they would adjust it based on the actual exam score situation. The above analysis by Thanh Nien Newspaper shows that the adjustment level may have to be very deep for schools whose main source of admission is from candidates with the D01 admission combination.

Source: https://thanhnien.vn/du-bao-diem-san-khoi-d01-giam-du-doi-185250716153636487.htm