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Score prediction: Netherlands beat Romania, low scoring match

Báo Tuổi TrẻBáo Tuổi Trẻ02/07/2024


Gakpo tiếp tục gánh vác hàng công Hà Lan - Ảnh: REUTERS

Gakpo continues to carry the Dutch attack - Photo: REUTERS

Ahead of Euro 2024, the Netherlands are among the favorites to win the tournament with a very high squad value. According to Transfermarkt, the total value of the players wearing orange shirts for Euro 2024 is 815 million euros. This figure is 9 times higher than the value of the Romanian team - only 92 million euros.

But after the group stage ended, Romania comfortably finished at the top of Group E. The Netherlands, on the other hand, only advanced thanks to the spot reserved for third-place teams with good results.

The loss of two key midfielders, Frenkie De Jong and Koopmeiners, at the last minute seriously weakened the Netherlands' strength. Coach Koeman's students could not dominate their opponents in all three group stage matches.

Even the Netherlands' famously solid defense, which boasts some of the world's best central defenders, has failed to maintain its form. Both Van Dijk and De Vrij are underperforming at Euro 2024.

Meanwhile, Romania was the most effective attacking team in the group stage. They scored 4 goals despite not having any outstanding strikers.

But according to the bookies, the Netherlands is still overwhelmingly strong in this match. The bookies give the Netherlands a handicap of 1 1/4 (1.25) goals, with the over/under bet being 2.5 goals.

This is a very high handicap compared to the "firepower" of the Netherlands. They have a striker in high form, Gakpo, but his teammates on the attack line, Depay and Simons, both played poorly.

Đội hình dự kiến của hai đội - Đồ họa: AN BÌNH

Expected lineup of the two teams - Graphics: AN BINH

According to Opta data, the probability of the Netherlands winning in 90 minutes is up to 62.8%. The corresponding figure for Romania is only 15.3%.

Sportsmole's data suggests the gap between the two teams isn't that big, with the Netherlands having a 46.5% chance of winning in 90 minutes, while Romania have a 26.6% chance.

In the last 4 matches, the Netherlands won all and scored 13 goals, conceding only 1. But in this confrontation, Romania will likely have a more solid defense.

According to Sportsmole, the possibility of the Netherlands scoring more than 1 goal in this match is only 41%. The most likely score is a 1-0 win for the Netherlands (12.8%), followed by a 1-1 draw (12.7%).

Expert's choice: choose Romania with a handicap of 1 1/4 goals, the match will have 2 goals or less.

Prediction: Netherlands win 1-0.

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Source: https://tuoitre.vn/du-doan-ti-so-ha-lan-thang-romania-tran-dau-it-ban-thang-20240701180719489.htm

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