Illustration photo. Photo: Internet
Coffee prices stable at high levels
At the London Stock Exchange, at 5:00 a.m. on April 28, 2025, Robusta coffee prices closed the session with a steady trend, fluctuating between 5,160 - 5,488 USD/ton compared to the previous session. Specifically, the coffee price for delivery in July 2025 reached 5,415 USD/ton; September 2025 at 5,363 USD/ton; November 2025 recorded 5,298 USD/ton and January 2026 reached 5,210 USD/ton.
In New York, the price of Arabica coffee in the early morning of April 28 increased slightly, ranging from 370.95 to 410.50 cents/lb. Specifically, the futures price for July 2025 closed at 399.00 cents/lb; September 2025 reached 392.10 cents/lb; December 2025 reached 383.85 cents/lb and March 2026 recorded 377.15 cents/lb.
At the end of the session, the price of Brazilian Arabica coffee showed stability, fluctuating between 470.00 - 521.75 USD/ton, equivalent to the previous session. Specifically, the May 2025 term reached 521.75 USD/ton; July 2025 reached 504.50 USD/ton; September 2025 recorded 480.00 USD/ton and December 2025 was 470.00 USD/ton.
In the domestic market, coffee prices in the Central Highlands on the morning of April 28, 2025 were recorded unchanged compared to the previous slight adjustment session, with an average purchase price of VND 130,600/kg.
Specifically, this morning coffee price in Dak Lak was purchased at 130,700 VND/kg; in Lam Dong it was 130,000 VND/kg; in Gia Lai it was 130,500 VND/kg and in Dak Nong it was 130,700 VND/kg.
Last week, coffee prices in the Central Highlands recorded alternating increases and decreases, but overall for the week, prices increased by VND1,000/kg compared to the previous week.
In the first quarter, Vietnam exported 32,395 tons of coffee to the US market, earning a turnover of 180.3 million USD. Compared to the first quarter of 2024, the export volume decreased by 13%, but the value increased sharply by 51% thanks to improved selling prices.
According to data from the General Department of Vietnam Customs, the total volume of coffee exported nationwide in the first quarter of 2025 reached 495,780 tons, with a value of 2.81 billion USD. Compared to the same period last year, the export volume decreased by 15.3%, but the turnover increased by 45.8% due to international coffee prices remaining at high levels.
Experts say that the current coffee market is fluctuating unpredictably under the influence of many intertwined macro and micro factors.
First, global supply is a key factor. Brazil, the leading Arabica producer, entered the 2024/25 crop year expecting a bumper crop thanks to favorable weather, raising concerns about oversupply and putting downward pressure on prices.
Meanwhile, Vietnam – the world’s largest Robusta exporter – has seen output decline due to the prolonged impact of El Niño, which has been particularly severe in the Central Highlands. However, coffee inventories among farmers remain abundant, ensuring uninterrupted supply. At the same time, global financial factors are also strongly influencing the coffee market.
Combining the above factors, the coffee market is entering a short-term adjustment period, while the medium-term trend will depend largely on the weather and demand from major importing countries.
In Vietnam, prolonged drought in the Central Highlands is severely affecting the coffee crop, causing farmers in Dak Nong to face a shortage of irrigation water during the peak of the dry season.
On the other hand, the EU anti-deforestation regulation (EUDR) of the European Union is putting more pressure on major coffee exporting countries such as Vietnam, Brazil, Colombia and Indonesia. Failure to meet the EUDR standard could reduce the supply of coffee to the EU market, leading to a risk of global shortages and pushing up coffee prices.
Pepper prices are stable
According to records at 5:00 a.m. on April 28, 2025, the domestic pepper market continued to be stable and flat compared to the previous session, with the average purchase price in key areas reaching 155,300 VND/kg.
Specifically, pepper prices in Gia Lai this morning were stable and unchanged from yesterday, currently being purchased at 154,500 VND/kg.
Similarly, pepper prices in Ba Ria - Vung Tau continue to be stable, with the current purchase price being 155,000 VND/kg.
In Binh Phuoc, pepper prices have not fluctuated compared to the previous session, currently maintaining a purchase price of 155,000 VND/kg.
Pepper prices in Dak Nong and Dak Lak have a stable trend, remaining at a high level of 156,000 VND/kg in each locality.
According to the update at 5:00 a.m. on April 28, 2025 from the International Pepper Community (IPC), world pepper prices are showing a stable and sideways trend.
In detail, IPC listed the price of Lampung black pepper (Indonesia) at 7,126 USD/ton; while Muntok white pepper was traded at 9,643 USD/ton.
In Malaysia, the pepper market has stabilized after many adjustment sessions, with ASTA black pepper price reaching 9,300 USD/ton and ASTA white pepper reaching 11,900 USD/ton.
Pepper prices in Brazil remained unchanged from the previous session, with the current purchase price reaching 6,900 USD/ton.
Meanwhile, the Vietnamese pepper market remains stable, with the price of 500 g/l black pepper reaching 6,800 USD/ton, 550 g/l at 6,900 USD/ton, and white pepper at 9,800 USD/ton.
Overall, last week, although the domestic pepper market had some volatile sessions, overall there were not many changes compared to last week.
Specifically, only pepper prices in Gia Lai recorded a slight decrease of 500 VND/kg, while pepper prices in other provinces and cities remained unchanged.
According to the Vietnam Pepper and Spices Association (VPSA), global pepper output in 2025 is expected to continue to decrease in many countries such as India, Indonesia and Sri Lanka.
The main reasons are low pepper growing profits, unfavorable weather conditions and increasing production costs. IPC estimates that world pepper production will decrease by 6.1% in 2025, in the context of increasing demand, contributing to keeping pepper prices high.
In Brazil, pepper output in 2025 is expected to reach 85,000-90,000 tons, up from 75,000 tons in 2024. The average export price of black pepper from Brazil in the first quarter reached 6,299 USD/ton, up 82.8% over the same period last year, but down slightly by 2.7% compared to the fourth quarter of 2024.
Indonesia recorded a 6% increase in pepper production in 2024, reaching 69,000 tons, but is forecast to decrease by 8.7% in 2025 due to weather impacts. Indonesia's average FOB black pepper price in the first quarter reached USD 7,201/ton, up 80% year-on-year and 7% quarter-on-quarter; while white pepper reached USD 9,807/ton, up 59% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter in 2024, thanks to reduced inventories.
In India, pepper production in 2025 is forecast to decline sharply by about 38% to about 78,000 tons due to reduced planting area and bad weather in Karnataka. The average FOB export price of black pepper in the first quarter of 2025 in India reached 7,813 USD/ton, up 16% over the same period last year, the lowest among major producing countries.
Malaysia recorded the strongest price increase in Q1/2025, with black pepper export prices increasing by 89% year-on-year and 9% compared to Q4/2024. White pepper prices also increased by 62% compared to Q1/2024.
Lan Le
Source: https://doanhnghiepvn.vn/kinh-te/gia-nong-san-ngay-28-4-ca-phe-va-ho-tieu-duy-tri-da-on-dinh-o-muc-cao/20250428085414201
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