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Gold prices are at record highs in all aspects, purchasing power is not "cooling down", is there still much potential for price increases?

Báo Quốc TếBáo Quốc Tế01/10/2024


Gold price today October 2, 2024: 9999 gold ring price turned around after "surpassing" SJC gold bars. World gold is facing some resistance levels at all-time highs, but the market has not had any strong sell-offs. Many analysts expect the precious metal still has a lot of potential to increase in price.
1. SJC - Updated: 10/01/2024 08:27 - Website supply time - / Compared to yesterday.
Type Buy Sell ​​out
SJC 1L, 10L, 1KG 82,000 ▲500K 84,000 ▲500K
SJC 5c 82,000 ▲500K 84,020 ▲500K
SJC 2c, 1C, 5 phan 82,000 ▲500K 84,030 ▲500K
SJC 99.99 gold ring 1 chi, 2 chi, 5 chi 81,400 ▼100K 82,900 ▼100K
SJC 99.99 gold ring 0.3 chi, 0.5 chi 81,400 ▼100K 83,000 ▼100K
99.99% Jewelry 81,350 ▼100K 82,600 ▼100K
99% Jewelry 79,782 ▼99K 81,782 ▼99K
Jewelry 68% 53,824 ▼68K 56,324 ▼68K
Jewelry 41.7% 32,098 ▼41K 34,598 ▼41K

Update gold price today October 2, 2024

World gold prices remain at record levels, purchasing power remains strong as usual.

The precious metals market has maintained its purchasing power despite record high prices against global currencies. Gold continues to dominate the world currency markets, reaching record highs across the board. However, gold also continues to prove its value in the real world.

According to the World & Vietnam Newspaper , the international gold price traded on Kitco News , at 7:15 p.m. on October 1 ( Hanoi time), was at 2,653.80 - 2,654.80 USD/ounce , an increase of 18.8 USD/ounce compared to the previous trading session.

Gold markets remained under pressure but there was no sharp sell-off as US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the pace of the world's largest economy 's monetary easing cycle. Powell struck a relatively positive tone, noting that "the US economy is in solid shape" and the Fed will be able to gradually ease monetary policy.

Gold has enjoyed a broad rally, hitting all-time highs against major currencies such as the euro, pound, Canadian dollar and Australian dollar. The latest research from Incrementum shows that gold has gained around 25% this year against a basket of global currencies. Although gold has faced some resistance at its all-time high above $2,680 an ounce last week, many analysts expect the precious metal to have more upside potential as the Fed is currently leading the world's central banks in the global rate easing cycle.

Domestic gold prices have new changes, SJC gold bar prices increase to a record high, gold ring prices turn around and adjust.

The price of SJC gold bars closed the trading session on October 1, recording a simultaneous adjustment compared to yesterday. Specifically, the price of SJC gold bars at major brands such as Saigon Jewelry Company, DOJI Group, Phu Quy and Bao Tin Minh Chau listed "same price" at 82 - 84 million VND/tael (buy-sell), an increase of half a million VND/tael in both directions.

The difference between the buying and selling price of SJC gold bars is up to 2 million VND/tael. Compared to the converted world gold price, the price of SJC gold bars is 5.04 million VND/tael higher, while the price of gold rings is about 2.94 million VND/tael higher.

The price of 9999 round smooth gold rings has temporarily adjusted after a session of "surpassing" SJC gold bars.

The selling price of 9999 gold rings at SJC Jewelry Company has decreased by 100,000 VND/tael compared to yesterday, currently trading at 81.4 - 82.9 million VND/tael; DOJI Company adjusted the price of Hung Thinh Vuong 9999 round gold rings to decrease by 400,000 and 450,000 VND/tael respectively in buying and selling compared to yesterday, to 81.9 - 82.9 million VND/tael. Bao Tin Minh Chau Company also adjusted a sharp decrease by 660,000 and 560,000 VND/tael respectively to 81.88 - 82.88 million VND/tael.

Giá vàng hôm nay 2/10/2024: Giá vàng, duy trì sức mua
Gold price today October 2, 2024: World gold price is at a record high in all aspects, purchasing power is still preserved, is there still much potential for price increase? (Source: Kitco)

Summary of SJC gold bar prices at major domestic trading brands at the closing times of the trading session on the afternoon of October 1:

Saigon Jewelry Company: SJC gold bars 82 - 84 million VND/tael; SJC gold rings 81.4 - 82.9 million VND/tael.

Doji Group: SJC gold bars 82 - 84 million VND/tael; 9999 round rings (Hung Thinh Vuong) 81.9 - 82.9 million VND/tael.

PNJ system: SJC gold bars 82 - 84 million VND/tael; PNJ 999.9 plain gold rings: 82.0 - 82.9 million VND/tael.

Phu Quy Gold and Silver Group: SJC gold bars 82 - 84 million VND/tael; Phu Quy 999.9 round gold rings: 81.95 - 82.90 million VND/tael.

The price of SJC gold at Bao Tin Minh Chau is listed at 82 - 84 million VND/tael. The price of round, smooth gold rings at Vang Rong Thang Long is listed at 81.88 - 82.88 million VND/tael.

Fed actively regulates, will gold price increase or decrease?

Making his first comments since cutting interest rates by 50 basis points, speaking at the National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting in Nashville, Tenn., Fed Chairman Powell said, “The decision to reduce interest rates reflects growing confidence that economic growth is moderate and inflation is falling sustainably toward 2 percent.”

Going forward, if the economy continues to perform as expected, US economic policy will shift to a more neutral stance over time, he added. "But we are not on any pre-determined path. The risks are two-fold, and we will continue to make decisions at each meeting. When considering additional policy adjustments, we will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. If the economy slows more than we expect, then we could cut more quickly," Mr. Powell said.

According to the global market and economic research department of UOB Bank (Singapore), the Fed's interest rate cut has weakened the USD and the low interest rate environment is creating positive momentum for gold prices.

In this context, the overall demand of central banks for allocating reserves to gold has not diminished in the context of increasing geopolitical risks. Global central banks, especially those in emerging markets and Asia, continue to consider gold as an important reserve and are expected to continue increasing their long-term allocation to gold. Gold demand from China and India is likely to increase towards the end of the year.

Gold has strengthened its bullish momentum in the portfolio throughout Q3 2024. UOB raised its global gold price forecast to $2,700/ounce in Q4 2024 and $2,800/ounce in Q1 2025.

However, some other experts believe that gold prices are likely to correct lower in the coming period. Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank , said that physical gold demand may slow due to high prices. He predicted that investors will need time to adjust to the new prices before demand recovers.

Mark Leibovit, an analyst at VR Metals/Resource Letter , also believes that gold prices have peaked in the short term and will soon enter a period of stabilization with a price correction. He explained that although the market still has many factors supporting gold prices, the rapid increase in recent times needs time to adjust to a state of equilibrium.

Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco , said that gold is currently overbought in the market. According to him, the precious metal will undergo a natural correction, easing the pressure from the recent overbought conditions.

Additionally, according to UOB, the main risk to UOB’s positive forecast is the possibility of an unexpected acceleration in inflation, forcing the Fed to scale back its expected rate cuts, which could lead to a resurgence in the US dollar and interest rates, which would be detrimental to gold prices.



Source: https://baoquocte.vn/gia-vang-hom-nay-2102024-gia-vang-cao-ky-luc-tren-moi-phuong-dien-suc-mua-khong-ha-nhet-con-nhieu-tiem-nang-tang-gia-288321.html

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