Vietnam's economy continues to maintain recovery momentum in the 2026-2027 period

QNgTV- OECD raises Vietnam's GDP growth forecast to 6.2% in 2026, reflecting a stable economy and the ability to adapt to global fluctuations.

Consumer shopping contributes to Vietnam's economic growth. (Photo: Tran Viet/VNA)

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) released its global economic outlook report, adjusting Vietnam's GDP growth forecast to 6.2% for 2026 and 5.8% for 2027. This is a positive signal showing that Vietnam's economy continues to maintain a solid macroeconomic foundation, even when the international trade context is uncertain.

However, the OECD also noted that external demand is forecast to weaken in 2026, putting pressure on exports - one of Vietnam's growth pillars. As a highly open economy, Vietnam remains vulnerable to global policy fluctuations.

On the positive side, private consumption is assessed to maintain stable purchasing power thanks to real wages and rising employment. However, the plan to adjust the value-added tax (VAT) in 2027 may cause consumption to slow down in the short term. Inflation is also forecast to increase due to strong domestic demand and one-off impacts from the VAT adjustment. In return, the OECD believes that public investment - especially after the previous period of slow disbursement - will continue to be an important fulcrum supporting aggregate demand and promoting growth. The organization has raised its growth forecast for 2026 by 0.2 percentage points compared to the report released in June 2025.

Source: https://quangngaitv.vn/kinh-te-viet-nam-tiep-tuc-giu-vung-da-phuc-hoi-trong-giai-doan-2026-2027-6511214.html