The North is at risk of power shortage most hours of the day, the electricity industry apologizes

" The Northern power system faces the risk of capacity shortage at most hours of the day ," said Mr. Hoa.

Mr. Hoa expressed his hope that customers, people, and businesses would share difficulties with the electricity industry and join hands to overcome the current tense situation of electricity supply.

" However, for whatever reason, the lack of electricity supply for socio-economic development is an unjustifiable responsibility of the State management agency. The electricity industry apologizes to the people and businesses, " Mr. Hoa concluded.

The North is at risk of power shortage most hours of the day, the electricity industry apologizes - 1 — Mr. Tran Viet Hoa, Director of Electricity Regulatory Authority, Ministry of Industry and Trade at the press conference on the afternoon of June 7.

Mr. Hoa added that the severe heat and the impact of the El Nino phenomenon occurring in many localities across the country have increased people's demand for electricity, combined with the very low water level in hydroelectric reservoirs, which has greatly affected the electricity supply in the dry season of 2023.

Electricity supply to the Southern and Central regions will generally be guaranteed due to the presence of many power sources. Furthermore, the Southern region has now entered the rainy season, so the load will decrease and the water supply to hydroelectric reservoirs will improve.

Meanwhile, although EVN, PVN, TKV and relevant ministries and agencies have made efforts to implement a number of urgent solutions, there have been factors that negatively affect the assurance of sufficient electricity supply in the coming time, especially in the North (characterized by hydropower sources accounting for a large proportion of 43.6%).

"As of June 6, most of the large hydroelectric reservoirs in the North have reached the dead water level, including: Lai Chau, Son La, Tuyen Quang, Ban Chat, Hua Na, Thac Ba. Only the two hydroelectric reservoirs of Lai Chau and Son La have had to run below the dead water level. Only the Hoa Binh hydroelectric reservoir still has water in the lake and can maintain power generation until around June 12-13. The total unmobilized capacity of the above-mentioned hydroelectric sources in the North will be at 5,000 MW and can reach 7,000 MW when the Hoa Binh hydroelectric reservoir reaches the dead water level.

Thus, as of June 6, 2023, the available capacity of hydropower is 3,110 MW, reaching only 23.7% of the installed capacity," said the leader of the Electricity Regulatory Authority.

Regarding electricity from thermal power plants, Mr. Hoa said that the coal supply for thermal power plants has been ensured in the past time, and coal-fired thermal power plants have had enough fuel to operate at high mobilized capacity.

However, due to hot weather and high temperatures, the units operated at maximum capacity for a long time, leading to equipment failures (mainly steam generator leaks, heater leaks, superheaters, coal crushers, feed pumps, etc.). In addition, many coal-fired thermal power units suffered long-term failures (1 unit in Vung Ang, 1 unit in Pha Lai, 1 unit in Cam Pha, 1 unit in Nghi Son 2). Typically, on June 1, the total capacity that could not be mobilized from coal-fired thermal power plants in the North that had failures and reduced capacity was up to 1,030 MW.

Thus, although the coal fuel source for power generation has been relatively guaranteed, as of June 6, 2023, the Northern coal thermal power source has only mobilized 11,934 MW, accounting for 76.6% of the installed capacity.

The ability to transmit electricity from the Central region to the North via the 500 kV North-Central line is always at a high limit (maximum limit from 2,500 MW to 2,700 MW), leading to potential risks of incidents.

The total available capacity of the Northern power system (including imported electricity) that can be mobilized to meet electricity load demand only reaches 17,500-17,900MW (about 59.2% of installed capacity).

Meanwhile, the demand for electricity in the Northern region may reach 23,500-24,000 MW in the upcoming hot days. Thus, the Northern power system will be short of about 4,350 MW with an average daily output of about 30.9 million kWh (the highest day can reach 50.8 million kWh).

To ensure electricity supply, in the coming time, the Ministry of Industry and Trade has proposed a number of immediate solutions such as requiring EVN to focus on effectively mobilizing all resources, and to synchronously and effectively direct and implement solutions to ensure electricity supply.

These include technical and traditional solutions such as maintaining the readiness of thermal power plants/units and speeding up troubleshooting time as quickly as possible.

Operate the power system reasonably, try to increase thermal power mobilization to prevent the decline of hydroelectric water levels; push the water levels of large hydroelectric reservoirs above the dead water level as soon as possible.

Proactively develop flexible scenarios to respond to electricity supply difficulties to minimize damage to people and businesses.

In addition, the Ministry also proposed solutions to increase the mobilization of renewable energy plants and accelerate the progress of putting transitional renewable energy plants into operation. To date, 18 transitional renewable energy plants with a capacity of 1,115.62 MW have been mobilized (including pilot and commercial plants).

At the same time, focus on effectively implementing solutions to increase electricity saving, especially in June 2023.

Thanh Lam

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