As of the morning of December 13th, the price of bulk green coffee beans in the Central Highlands provinces has dropped sharply, officially falling below the psychological threshold of 100,000 VND/kg. This development reflects the pressure from the increasing supply of the new crop and the cooling of the global market.
Domestic coffee prices details
According to the survey, coffee prices in key growing regions have been adjusted downwards, with no localities recording prices above 100,000 VND/kg. Specifically:
- In Lam Dong province : The common price in Di Linh, Lam Ha, and Bao Loc districts is 99,000 VND/kg.
- In Dak Lak : Cu M'gar district recorded a price of 99,600 VND/kg, while Ea H'leo and Buon Ho traded around 99,500 VND/kg.
- In Dak Nong: Coffee prices range from 99,800 to 99,900 VND/kg.
- In Gia Lai and Kon Tum: The common price is around 99,300 – 99,400 VND/kg.
The main reason for this price drop is believed to be that Vietnam is entering its peak harvest season, with production expected to increase by 6-10% compared to the previous season. The abundant supply entering the market has put significant pressure on prices.
Global markets are weakening across the board.
On the international market, at the close of trading on December 12, coffee prices on both major futures exchanges fell sharply.
On the London exchange, Robusta coffee futures for January 2026 delivery fell nearly 2%, to around $4,120-$4,130 per ton. The March 2026 contract also retreated to around $4,000 per ton, the lowest price in almost four months.
Similarly, on the New York exchange, the price of Arabica for December 2025 delivery fell by more than 2%, to below 400 cents/pound, while the March 2026 contract retreated to around 369 cents/pound.
Pressure from the global supply outlook
The decline in the global market reflects the cautious sentiment of investors amid the prospect of significantly improved global supply. Besides the accelerating harvest in Vietnam, Brazil – the world's largest coffee producer – is also projected to have a strong recovery crop.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture forecasts that Brazil's coffee production could exceed 70 million bags in the 2026-2027 crop year. This information has helped alleviate concerns about supply shortages that had previously driven prices higher.
Furthermore, short-term demand is also showing signs of weakening as major roasters have completed their purchases for the year-end holiday season. With supply increasing and demand stagnating, a significant correction in coffee prices is inevitable.
Trend forecasting
Experts predict that, in the short term, the coffee market may continue to face downward price pressure or significant volatility depending on the harvesting progress in Vietnam and weather conditions in Brazil. However, in the medium and long term, coffee is still considered a commodity with a strong fundamental foundation due to stable global demand.
Source: https://baolamdong.vn/gia-ca-phe-hom-nay-1312-giam-sau-mat-moc-100000-dongkg-410027.html
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