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US economic growth slows slightly and will have a "soft landing"

Báo Quốc TếBáo Quốc Tế17/01/2024

Recently, economic experts from Goldman Sachs bank predicted that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could start lowering interest rates next March and carry out a total of five interest rate cuts in 2024.
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Headquarters of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in Washington. (Source: Xinhua)

Goldman Sachs experts believe that the US economy will have a "soft landing", with growth slowing slightly and inflation continuing to decline this year.

According to the investment bank, the Fed will gradually reduce interest rates, thereby lowering borrowing costs for consumers and businesses.

With inflation falling and the economy still stable, the Fed kept interest rates at a 22-year high in December 2023, reinforcing the view that the most recent rate hike in July last year was the last in the bank's tightening cycle.

While leaving open the possibility of further rate hikes if inflation rebounds, Fed policymakers predict three rate cuts this year.

Goldman economist Jan Hatzius said the Fed will soon cut interest rates, most likely next March.

Goldman Sachs expects the Fed to cut interest rates only five times this year, lower than the market's forecast, and the likelihood of a 0.5 percentage point rate cut is very low, the expert said.

The Fed's interest rate is currently at 5.25-5.5%. The five 0.25 percentage point rate cuts as predicted above would bring the interest rate to 4-4.25%.



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