Coffee prices could fall up to 30% in 2025

Arabica coffee futures are expected to fall by up to 30% between now and the end of the year.

Recent record high prices have caused a slump in demand, while there are early signs of a bumper coffee crop in Brazil. Coffee price Robusta could also decline at a similar pace.

According to a Reuters survey, the forecast for Arabica coffee prices at the end of 2025 could reach more than $6,200 per tonne, or 30% lower than current prices. Robusta coffee prices are also forecast to end this year at $4,200 per tonne, down 28% from this week's closing price.

Brazil’s Robusta coffee output is forecast to rise to 24.5 million bags in 2025-26, up from 21 million bags in the previous year. Vietnam’s Robusta output, the world’s largest grower of the bean, is also forecast to rise to 29 million bags from 28 million bags in the previous year.

In the domestic market, today (February 21), domestic coffee prices dropped sharply after yesterday's strong increase. Currently, coffee prices in the Central Highlands provinces range from 131,000 - 132,200 VND/kg, down 1,200 - 1,300 VND/kg compared to yesterday.

Specifically: Dak Lak , Gia Lai: 132,000 VND/kg (-1,300 VND). Lam Dong: 131,000 VND/kg (-1,200 VND). Dak Nong: 132,200 VND/kg (-1,300 VND).

Compared to the highest price recorded on February 19 (133,500 VND/kg), coffee prices have lost about 1,500 - 1,700 VND/kg after only two sessions, showing the selling pressure of the market in the context of plummeting world coffee prices.

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