Storm Kalmaegi increases level 6, forecast to enter the East Sea tonight

Latest forecast on the path of Typhoon Kalmaegi.

At 7:00 a.m. this morning (November 4), storm Kalmaegi is devastating the central region of the Philippines with a strong intensity of level 13, gusting to level 16.

It is forecasted that tonight, the storm will enter the East Sea, becoming the 13th storm of the year. Domestic and international forecast models all agree that the storm will make landfall directly in the Central and South Central regions of our country with very strong intensity. However, currently, the landfall area and intensity still have differences between forecast models.

The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that after entering the East Sea, the storm will move very quickly, about 20-25km/h. Therefore, as soon as the storm enters the East Sea, this agency will issue an emergency storm warning. With a stable direction of movement in the west-northwest direction and a fast speed, this storm is forecast to make landfall in our country very soon, around the night of November 6 to the morning of November 7.

Regarding intensity, the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that after entering the East Sea, the storm will continue to strengthen. By 7am tomorrow morning, November 5, while operating in the central East Sea, the storm will be at level 13, gusting to level 16.

During the day and night of November 5, the storm continued to strengthen. At 7:00 a.m. on November 6, while operating in the Central East Sea, off the coast of Gia Lai province (formerly Binh Dinh), the storm strengthened to level 14, gusting to level 17.

It is forecasted that during the day and night of November 6, the storm will gradually move towards the sea area from Quang Ngai to Dak Lak (formerly Phu Yen ) with a slight decrease in intensity, then enter our mainland with a strong intensity of level 11-12, gusting to level 14-15.

At 7:00 a.m. on November 7, when it entered the mainland from Quang Ngai to Dak Lak , the storm still maintained its intensity of level 10-11, gusting to level 13. During the day and night of November 7, the storm entered the mainland, moved to Southern Laos and Thailand, weakened into a tropical depression, then a low pressure area.

At 7:00 a.m. on November 8, the center of the low pressure area was over eastern Thailand and gradually dissipated.

According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, unlike the recent super typhoon Ragasa or typhoon Fengshen (typhoon No. 12), typhoon Kalmaegi is unlikely to encounter unfavorable conditions such as cold, dry air and strong wind shear to weaken quickly. Therefore, this could be a very strong typhoon to make landfall in our country this year, possibly equivalent to, or even more dangerous than typhoon Bualoi that made landfall in Ha Tinh - Nghe An at the end of September.

Due to the strong intensity of the storm, the area of influence is forecast to be very large, the area of strong winds may extend from Da Nang to Khanh Hoa. Meanwhile, the area of heavy rain may extend from Quang Tri to Dak Lak, lasting from the night of November 6 to November 9. In addition, the meteorological agency is paying special attention to the possibility of thunderstorms before the storm arrives.

At sea, today and tomorrow (November 5-6), the Central East Sea area (including the sea area north of Truong Sa special zone), the sea area off the coast of Da Nang - Khanh Hoa is likely to be affected by strong winds of level 12-14, gusting over level 17, waves of 8-10m high. The sea is very rough. All ships and structures operating in the above-mentioned dangerous area are strongly affected by storms, whirlwinds, strong winds, and big waves.

The East Sea is experiencing a rare stormy season, with many storms directly impacting and severely affecting our mainland.

According to experts, the tropical convergence zone is active and stable in the area near the equator with atmospheric disturbances and small vortices that are the seeds for developing into tropical depressions, then storms. Warm sea surface conditions are also the reason why many strong storms form and enter the East Sea.

Source: https://baohaiphong.vn/bao-kalmaegi-tang-6-cap-du-bao-vao-bien-dong-dem-nay-525569.html