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Vietnam's coffee export turnover in 2023 is a record high, reaching 4.24 billion USD

Báo Công thươngBáo Công thương12/01/2024


Coffee exports reached a record high in 2023, estimated at $4.18 billion. What are the forecasts for coffee export prices in 2024?

According to preliminary statistics from the General Department of Customs, Vietnam's coffee exports in December reached 207,613 tons with a value of nearly 600 million USD, a sharp increase of 74% in volume and 68.1% in value compared to the previous month. The export value reached nearly 599.5 million USD - the highest in the past 15 years, an increase of 68.1% compared to November 2023 and 40.8% compared to December 2022.

The average export coffee price in December 2023 continued to decrease slightly by 3.4% compared to the previous month, reaching 2,887 USD/ton, but still increased sharply by 33.5% compared to the same period in 2022.

In general, in 2023, Vietnam's coffee exports will reach 1.62 million tons, down 8.7% compared to 2022; but the turnover will reach a record high of more than 4.24 billion USD, up 4.6% compared to 2022.

Áp lực chi phí tăng cao, xuất khẩu cà phê vẫn có thể lập kỷ lục mới với 4  tỷ USD | Báo Đấu thầu
Vietnam's coffee exports surged to a record high of $4.24 billion in 2023.

The average export price of coffee in 2023 reached US$2,614 per ton, an increase of 14.5% compared to 2022.

The decrease in output but the increase in turnover is due to the export price increasing sharply in the past 12 consecutive months, reaching an average of 2,613.8 USD/ton, an increase of 14.5% over the same period in 2022.

Among the export markets, the three largest are Germany, Italy, and Japan, with market shares in terms of value of 10.8%, 7.7%, and 7.5%, respectively.

Specifically, Vietnam exported 196,090 tons of coffee to Germany, earning over $458 million, a decrease of 12.7% in volume and 3.3% in value. Italy spent over $281 million importing 125,226 tons of coffee from Vietnam, an increase of 2.1% in volume and 10% in value. Regarding Japan, Vietnam exported 111,003 tons of coffee since the beginning of the year, earning over $319 million, an increase of 1.5% in volume and 15% in value compared to the same period last year.

Currently, Vietnamese coffee is present in more than 70 countries and territories. Vietnam is the second largest coffee exporter in the world . Compared to other coffee producing countries in the world, Vietnam's coffee area is only ranked 6th after Brazil with a total area of ​​nearly 1.9 million hectares, Indonesia with a total area of ​​over 1.2 million hectares, Colombia and Ethiopia with more than 800 thousand hectares, and Ivory Coast with nearly 800 thousand hectares.

Although Vietnam is the 6th largest coffee growing country in the world, its coffee productivity is the highest in the world and it is the second largest coffee exporter in the world, just behind Brazil. Vietnam's average coffee productivity is 1.4 times higher than Brazil's, 2.8 times higher than Colombia's and 4.5 times higher than Indonesia's.

Thị trường hàng hóa ngày 12/1/2024: Lực mua mạnh trên thị trường hàng hóa nguyên liệu thế giới
Concerns that farmers would limit sales have driven up Arabica prices.

According to the Vietnam Commodity Exchange (MXV), from the lowest level in a month, Arabica prices increased by 1.6% in yesterday's trading session (January 11). Meanwhile, Robusta prices decreased slightly by 0.41% after 5 consecutive sessions of increase. Although the USD/BRL exchange rate increased during the coffee trading period, concerns about farmers limiting sales pushed Arabica prices up.

The Dollar Index rose sharply right after the US CPI in December increased by 3.4%, higher than the market's forecast of 3.2% as well as the 3.1% of November. This contributed to the increase in the USD/BRL exchange rate. The exchange rate increased but farmers still had the mentality of holding on to their goods to wait for the price to increase, causing the buying power to still dominate and push the price higher.

Increased coffee shipping costs, influenced by tensions in the Red Sea, helped prevent Robusta prices from falling too sharply yesterday.

Coffee is a famous drink, many foreigners express their love when enjoying the delicious taste and experiencing the Vietnamese coffee culture.

Information from the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association (Vicofa) said that domestic coffee prices are expected to continue to remain high in 2024, due to a severe supply shortage in the 2022/2023 coffee crop year.

The association estimates that there is a shortage of about 1.5 - 2.5 million bags of coffee under contract and needs to be met from the current coffee harvest, while farmers are still reluctant to sell coffee at current prices, pushing prices to continue to rise on the London floor.

According to statistics from Vicofa, Europe currently consumes about 40-50% of Vietnam's exported coffee, and the region still has good demand. Therefore, with the current significant supply shortage, coffee prices are forecast to remain high in 2024.

The International Coffee Organization said rising tensions in the Red Sea have forced some shipping lines to reroute their coffee shipments. As a result, for Southeast Asian and East African coffee bound for Europe, unforeseen impacts include increased shipping costs as some shipping companies have introduced surcharges to compensate for the extended transit times.



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