The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that on the morning of September 6, a tropical depression (TLD) was active in the eastern sea of the northern part of the East Sea, with a strong intensity of level 7. The operating conditions of this TLD are currently quite favorable for development, with the sea surface temperature in the northern part of the East Sea, above 15 degrees North latitude, currently at 29-30 degrees.
In the area of operation of the tropical depression, the wind shear is also small, plus the southwest wind in the South is relatively strong, so the possibility of this tropical depression strengthening into a storm is up to 70-80% and it is forecasted that this tropical depression will strengthen into a storm in the evening and tonight. If it strengthens into a storm, this will be the 16th storm in the Northwest Pacific region and will be the 7th storm active in the East Sea and according to the international name list, it will be Tapah.
This tropical depression/storm formed in the northern part of the East Sea, while the subtropical high pressure tongue, the main shape that determines the path and direction of the tropical depression/storm, tends to weaken. This tropical depression/storm is located in the western part of the subtropical high pressure tongue. According to the path trend, the storm will move mainly in the northwest direction. With the northwest direction, the possibility of the storm moving deeply towards our mainland is not high, but the possibility of the storm making landfall in China.
Expected path of the tropical depression. (Photo: KTTV) |
Currently, forecasts from international storm forecasting centers predict that this storm will make landfall in China's Guangdong province on September 8, next Monday. When it makes landfall, the storm's intensity could reach level 10-11, gusting to level 13-14.
Vietnam's forecast is quite similar to international forecasts. Vietnam believes that in the evening and night of September 6, this tropical depression will strengthen into a storm (storm number 7). Its strongest intensity when approaching the mainland coast of Guangdong province (China) will reach level 10, gusting to level 13, and the time of landfall in China will be around the morning and noon of September 8, that is, the morning and noon of Monday next week.
The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting added that this is a storm that formed on the tropical convergence zone, the storm's formation location is in the northern region of the East Sea, however, the storm's formation point is quite high, in the northern region of the North East Sea and the direction of movement is much more to the North, the period when storms usually affect the North and have begun to deviate to the South and affect the Central region, but this storm made landfall in China.
Although it makes landfall in China, after making landfall, storm No. 7 will quickly weaken into a low pressure area, then drift westward, toward our country. It is likely that from the afternoon and night of September 9-11, the post-storm No. 7 circulation will cause widespread heavy rain in the North, focusing on the midland and mountainous areas of the Northeast.
Source: https://baolamdong.vn/bao-so-7-chuan-bi-do-bo-chuyen-gia-du-bao-mua-lon-o-bac-bo-trung-bo-390278.html
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