Coffee price today October 27: Starting the week with an increase to the peak of 117,000 VND/kg

Coffee prices on October 27 increased slightly, reaching 117,000 VND/kg in Dak Lak, due to limited supply and concerns about drought in Brazil. The world market is stable.

Coffee prices today October 27, 2025 in the domestic market

Coffee prices in the Central Highlands today increased slightly compared to yesterday. The average coffee price is currently around 116,800 VND/kg. Specifically:

Coffee prices today in Dak Lak province increased by 500 VND/kg, reaching 117,000 VND/kg.

Similarly, today's coffee price in Lam Dong province increased by 500 VND/kg, reaching 115,700 - 117,000 VND/kg.

Coffee price today in Gia Lai province increased by 500 VND/kg compared to yesterday, reaching 116,500 VND/kg.

Online coffee prices on October 27, 2025 on the world market

The price at the exchange today closed at the highest level of 4.571 (11/25 term) and the term of July 26 stopped at the lowest level of 4.353. All terms kept the same price as the previous session.

Specifically, the November 25 term closed at a high of 4,571, unchanged from the previous session. This was the leading term in terms of price.

Immediately after that, January 26 Futures closed at 4,557, maintaining the second highest price on the floor and no fluctuations.

The remaining tenors all showed a gradual decrease in price over time and remained unchanged from the previous session. The March 26 term had a matched price of 4.478, unchanged. The May 26 term closed at 4.414, unchanged. The July 26 term closed at 4.353, the lowest price among the traded tenors, unchanged. The overall market showed stability and balance between buyers and sellers.

The futures contract price at the exchange today closed at a high of 403.00 (12/25 expiry) and a low of 336.65 (09/26 expiry). All the expiry periods kept the same price as the previous session, showing that the market is temporarily stable.

Specifically, the December 25 futures contract closed at a high of 403.00, unchanged. This was the leading price.

The 03/26 futures contract also continued to maintain a high of 383.05, unchanged.

The remaining terms all showed a gradual decrease in price over time and remained unchanged from the previous session, demonstrating the balance between buyers and sellers: The May 26 term had a matching price of 367.85, unchanged. The July 26 term reached 352.25, unchanged.

The September 26 contract closed at 336.65, unchanged, the lowest price among the contracts traded. The market today showed a sideways movement, waiting for new information.

Coffee price assessment and forecast

Supply in Vietnam is not abundant because the harvest has not yet reached its peak, while Brazil is facing a severe drought, especially in Minas Gerais state, where rainfall is only 70% of the average. This situation, combined with the 50% import tax imposed by the US on Brazilian goods, has increased concerns about global supply.

Furthermore, ICE certified coffee inventories remain low, with Arabica falling to 467,110 bags (a 19-month low) and Robusta falling to 6,141 lots (a 3-month low). These factors, combined with geopolitical tensions such as the threat of US tariffs on Colombia – the world’s third-largest coffee producer – are putting upward pressure on prices, especially for Arabica.

In the short term, domestic coffee prices are likely to increase by 2-5%, equivalent to VND2,300-5,800/kg, if the drought in Brazil continues and supply in Vietnam remains limited. However, from mid-November, when the harvest in the Central Highlands reaches its peak, supply pressure may cause prices to stagnate or decrease slightly.

In the international market, Robusta prices are likely to remain stable, while Arabica prices are likely to increase if there is no progress in the US-Brazil trade negotiations or if the weather in Brazil does not improve. However, the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment of Vietnam forecasts that coffee production in the 2025/26 crop year will increase by 10% to 31 million bags thanks to favorable rainfall, which could help ease supply pressure in the medium term.

Looking further ahead, climate change is a major challenge for the coffee industry. The continued drought in Brazil since 2020 and the forecast that only 50% of the current coffee growing area will be suitable by 2050 will continue to push up prices. Production costs will also increase due to investment in irrigation, heat-resistant varieties, and new farming techniques.

Only 10% of global coffee growing areas are irrigated, and that figure needs to increase by a third to meet demand as the climate changes. In addition, issues such as deforestation in Brazil and a stronger dollar could impact prices, especially in export markets such as Europe.

In summary, coffee prices are currently supported by tight supplies and weather concerns, but may level off as the harvest in Vietnam peaks. In the long term, climate change and rising production costs will continue to push prices up, requiring the coffee industry to adapt to more sustainable solutions. Investors and farmers should closely monitor weather, international trade, and exchange rates to make appropriate decisions.

Source: https://baolamdong.vn/gia-ca-phe-hom-nay-27-10-mo-dau-tuan-bang-da-tang-len-dinh-117-000-dong-kg-398128.html