Today, October 19th, Typhoon No. 12 entered the East Sea.

According to forecasts from the National Center for Meteorological and Hydrological Forecasting and international meteorological agencies, Typhoon Fengshen will enter the South China Sea from this evening, October 19th, and become the 12th typhoon of 2025.

Early this morning, the storm's center was located at approximately 13.7 degrees North latitude and 122.7 degrees East longitude, in the sea area east of central Philippines. At this time, the storm is still at level 8 (62-74 km/h), with gusts up to level 10, and is moving steadily in a west-northwest direction at a speed of about 20 km/h.

The map of Typhoon Fengshen as of the morning of October 19th, from the National Center for Meteorological and Hydrological Forecasting.

The National Center for Meteorological and Hydrological Forecasting predicts that between October 20 and 22, the northern South China Sea area (including the Hoang Sa Special Administrative Region) is likely to be affected by strong winds of level 10-11, gusting to level 13.

According to meteorological experts, Typhoon No. 12 initially moved rapidly northwest at a speed of 20-25 km/hour, heading towards the northeastern part of the South China Sea. Afterward, the typhoon slowed down to about 10 km/hour and changed direction to west-southwest, approaching the Hoang Sa (Paracel) Islands.

The storm's trajectory was bent southward due to the influence of a cold air mass moving southward from the north and a subtropical high-pressure system pushing the storm toward the central part of the South China Sea.

Although the likelihood of this storm making landfall in Vietnam is considered low, due to the influence of the storm's circulation and the strengthening cold air mass, from October 23rd to 26th, the mainland area from Ha Tinh to Quang Ngai is at risk of moderate to heavy rainfall.

Meteorological experts warn that the central mainland region needs to be prepared for heavy rains causing flooding and landslides due to the combination of storm circulation and cold air.

At sea, the storm's center is unlikely to approach the Gulf of Tonkin and will instead move southward. Particularly in the central and southern South China Sea, winds could reach levels 10 to 11, accompanied by waves 4-5 meters high, posing a danger to ships operating in this area over the next few days.

Satellite image of Typhoon Fengshen and a cold air mass moving southward, at 6:00 AM this morning, October 19th. Source: ZE

According to information from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC - USA), at 4:00 AM on October 19th, Vietnam time, Typhoon Fengshen (known as Ramil in the Philippines and Typhoon No. 24 in Japan) was located approximately 190km east-southeast of Manila, the capital of the Philippines, moving west-northwest at a speed of about 22km/hour.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) warns that in the next 12 hours, the storm will pass over Luzon Island, then continue moving northwest. After about two days, the storm will encounter a weak subtropical high-pressure area, slowing down and potentially temporarily stabilizing, before changing direction to west-southwest due to a newly formed subtropical high-pressure system over Southeast Asia.

Simultaneously, a strong cold air mass from the Taiwan Strait (China) will move in, causing the storm to intensify over the next 2-3 days, potentially reaching a peak of Category 13 (equivalent to 130 km/hour). Afterward, as it changes direction and is significantly affected by the dry, cold air mass, the storm will weaken rapidly.

ANGEL

Source: https://www.sggp.org.vn/hom-nay-19-10-bao-so-12-vao-bien-dong-post818790.html