Live results of the 2024 US presidential election

(CLO) Mr. Donald Trump won the US presidential election on Wednesday, an extraordinary comeback for a former President who had encountered many troubles during the past four years of campaigning.

05:30, November 7
Mr. Trump won 295 electoral votes.
Trump not only won the election, but also won 295 electoral votes when the remaining states announced their votes. The gap even increased in the last two states that have not finished counting votes, Nevada and Arizona, where Trump also leads Harris.
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16:02, November 6
Ukrainian President quickly congratulated Mr. Trump
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy wrote a long post to congratulate Mr. Trump on social network X. The content is as follows: "Congratulations @realDonaldTrump on your impressive victory in the election!
I recall the wonderful meeting with President Trump in September, when we discussed in detail the Ukraine-US strategic partnership, the Victory Plan and ways to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
I appreciate President Trump's commitment to a " peace through strength" approach to global affairs. This is exactly the principle that can bring a just peace closer to Ukraine. I hope we will work together.
We look forward to an era of a strong United States of America under President Trump's decisive leadership. We rely on America's continued strong bipartisan support for Ukraine.
We are interested in developing mutually beneficial political and economic cooperation that will benefit both countries. Ukraine, as one of the strongest military powers in Europe, is committed to ensuring lasting peace and security in Europe and the transatlantic community with the support of its allies.
I look forward to personally congratulating President Trump and discussing ways to strengthen Ukraine's strategic partnership with the United States," the Ukrainian President's account X wrote.

15:30, November 6
World leaders send congratulations to Mr. Trump
According to AP's current tally, Mr. Trump is just three electoral votes short of winning the White House, although he is leading in key battleground states.
“Congratulations on the greatest comeback in history!” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu wrote on X. “Your historic return to the White House ushers in a new beginning for America and a strong commitment to the great alliance between Israel and America.”
French President Emmanuel Macron posted on X: “Ready to cooperate as we have done for the past four years. With your trust and mine. With respect and ambition. For more peace and prosperity.”
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15:12, November 6
Trump's spectacular and unexpected return
This was a surprising victory for Mr. Trump, as most forecasts and polls had Ms. Harris ahead throughout the campaign. Even before Election Day, Mr. Trump still only had a 50-50 chance of winning back the White House.
By 00:30 Eastern time (12:30 noon today Vietnam time), officials had nearly finished counting votes in more than 1,600 counties - about half the country - and Mr. Trump's vote share had increased by about 2% compared to 2020, reflecting a widespread change.
He improved his numbers in suburban counties, rural areas and even some big cities that were Democratic strongholds; in high-income and low-income counties; and in places where unemployment was relatively high and where it is now at record lows.
Ms. Harris won big support from urban and suburban voters, but her support there lagged far behind President Joe Biden in the 2020 election.
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14:48, November 6
Mr. Trump declared victory
Republican candidate Donald Trump declared victory in the 2024 presidential election after Fox News predicted he had defeated Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, marking a stunning political comeback four years after he left the White House.
Donald Trump declares victory in West Palm Beach, Florida, USA on November 6, 2024. Photo: Reuters
“America has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate,” he said Wednesday morning to a raucous crowd of supporters at the Palm Beach County Convention Center.
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12:15, November 6
The ballot boxes have closed, Americans hold their breath waiting
It is now midnight Eastern Time, and most polling places are scheduled to close. It is up to the election workers to find the President and other federal and state officials of the United States.
According to the latest data, Ms. Harris is temporarily narrowing the gap with Mr. Trump when the western states of the US that support the Democratic Party, including California (which has up to 54 electoral votes), have counted their votes and showed no surprises. Currently, Ms. Harris's chances will still depend on the 6 battleground states that are still in the race (including Nevada, which has not yet counted its votes).
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11:35, November 6
What are the chances for Ms. Harris?
In the current election landscape, Ms. Harris is facing many difficulties, but it is not impossible to turn the tables. She is still expected to win at least 226 electoral votes, but to reach the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency, she needs to win a series of battleground states.
Technically, there are 20 combinations from the seven battleground states of Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin and Nevada that could lead to a victory for Ms. Harris.
The results in 6/7 battleground states are leaning towards Mr. Trump.
However, developments show that the two states of Georgia and North Carolina are leaning towards Mr. Trump. Ms. Harris's most likely path to victory now is to win all five remaining battleground states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin. However, in reality, Ms. Harris is currently at a disadvantage in four of these five battleground states (Nevada does not have data yet), although the gap is not too large.
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10:45, November 6
Red color flooded the battleground state, Ms. Harris's chance of winning plummeted
Mr. Donald Trump has risen to his highest position ever in the US election in the betting market with more than nearly 88% chance of winning, when the former US President is leading in a series of battleground states Georgia (16 electoral votes), North Carolina (16) and Pennsylvania (19).
Specifically, in Georgia, after 88% of the votes were counted, Mr. Trump won 51.3%, while she won 48.1%. Meanwhile, in North Carolina, after 84% of the votes were counted, Mr. Trump won 50.7% and she won 48.2%. In Pennsylvania, once a stronghold of the Democratic Party, Ms. Harris is still at a disadvantage, winning 48.2% compared to Mr. Trump's nearly 51%, after 60% of the votes were counted.
So far, Mr. Trump has also won in the states of Kentucky, Indiana, West Virginia, Alabama, Oklahoma, Florida, South Carolina, Tennessee, Mississippi, Texas, Ohio, Louisiana, Wyoming, North Dakota, North Dakota, Nebraska and Arkansas.
Meanwhile, Ms. Harris has only won in the states of Vermont, Maryland, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Delaware, Illinois, New Jersey and New York.
Bookmaker Polymarket has slashed Ms Harris' chances of winning dramatically.
On the betting site Polymarket, Trump’s odds are at an all-time high of 88%, while on the political betting market Kalshi, his chances of winning the election have risen to 66% and Kamala Harris’s have fallen to 34%. Predictit also saw a sudden surge in support for Trump (64%), after having previously given Harris a 29% chance.
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10:10, November 6
Trump leads in battleground state Georgia, Democrats start to worry
Mr Trump leads Kamala Harris in the battleground state of Georgia after 75% of the votes have been counted there, with Mr Trump winning 52.1% to Ms Harris's 47.3%. In most cases, the state's 16 electoral votes are considered necessary for any candidate to win.
The results at this point show red dominating the electoral map.
Democratic strategist James Carville has admitted early signs suggest Ms Harris' chances of winning the White House are "not good" after "worrying signs" in polling so far.
“There are worrying signs out there, but we had a big vote from Philadelphia,” Mr. Carville, who played a key role in former President Bill Clinton’s 1992 election victory, said in a statement to Amazon.
“We’ll wait a little bit. Let’s see what happens in North Carolina and Georgia; but I would be dishonest if I didn’t say the early signs there are not good,” he added.
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09:25, November 6
Mr. Trump is watching the election with Mr. Kennedy Jr., continuing to lead the race.
Former President Donald Trump is watching the election results with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — including results from Wisconsin, where Kennedy Jr. remains on the ballot despite his efforts to remove his name from the battleground state and swing votes to Trump.
With nearly 60 million votes counted, Mr. Trump still has the advantage because Republican-leaning states were counted first. Ms. Harris could easily pull ahead when more Democratic-leaning states open their ballots.
Mr Trump's team is keeping a close eye on Wisconsin tonight but is not expecting any signs of a win anytime soon, knowing how long it takes to count votes there and how close the margin can be.
Mr Kennedy, who dropped out of the race in August to endorse Mr Trump, had urged the US Supreme Court in an emergency appeal to force states to remove his name from the ballot. But state election officials refused, given the early voting in those states.
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08:15, November 6
Mr. Trump firmly leads, the race is still going according to forecast.
Mr. Trump is still increasing his lead in the tight race for the White House with Ms. Harris. He is ahead in 10 states, many by large margins. Ms. Harris is leading in four states, and is slightly ahead in several others.
However, it can be seen that the race is still within the forecast of analysts and poll results. Therefore, everything can completely change as the election continues.
The live results chart shows Mr Trump is performing as well as predicted (picture below)
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07:25, November 6
Mr. Trump leads 19-3
Mr. Trump continued to increase the gap after more than 8 million votes were counted, when he won 4,538,190 votes, compared to Ms. Harris's 3,744,551 votes. Currently, Mr. Trump is leading in 7 states, and is estimated to have won 19 electoral votes in 2 sure-win states Kentucky (8) and Indiana (11), compared to only 3 votes for Ms. Harris - who is also sure to win in Vermont (3). However, the situation could change soon when Ms. Harris's advantageous states have not yet been counted.
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06:45, November 6
The first votes have been counted, Mr. Trump is temporarily leading (the numbers are changing by the minute)
According to live data updates, after the first 400,000 votes in the 2024 US election were counted in Indiana and Kentucky, Mr. Trump won a total of 225,417 votes (60%), while Ms. Harris achieved 153,630 (38.7%).
Specifically, Mr. Trump won 177,652 votes and Ms. Harris won 124,563 votes in Indiana (10% of votes counted). Meanwhile, Mr. Trump won 65,377 votes and Ms. Harris won 32,126 votes in Kentucky (5% of votes counted).
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05:15, November 6
Voters are actively voting, no results have been announced yet.
Tens of millions of Americans have already cast their ballots since Election Day began on Tuesday, November 5. However, no official results have been announced yet, except that Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump both won the first three votes in the town of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire - where voting is traditionally held at midnight.
Election workers count ballots on US Election Day on November 5. Photo: AP
However, the final PBS News/NPR/Marist poll shows Ms. Harris is widening the gap, with the support of 51% of voters compared to 47% for Mr. Trump.
It could take days or longer if the race is very close or a recount is needed, Georgetown University political science professor Hans Noel told US News.
“If the result is very close then you need to make sure that it is followed through, and there may be a recount and all that mechanical work that will take time – days, maybe even longer,” Professor Noel said.
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4:30 a.m., November 6
Precinct chief dismissed over complaints
In Richmond, Virginia, the local Board of Elections held an emergency meeting to remove a precinct chief after 11 voters complained that their ballots had only the presidential election name on them, not the local election name. Since they had already voted, they could not vote again with the correct ballots.
In another notable development, officials in Northville, Michigan, closed a polling place at noon and moved voters to another voting precinct in suburban Detroit because of a natural gas leak.
Meanwhile, New York State Police said a man, previously convicted of a felony, was told he was ineligible to vote because he had not re-registered after being released from prison. The man became angry and began threatening to return with a gun or burn the place down. He fled but was later arrested by police and taken to the station for questioning.
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22:05, November 5
Many predictions show that Ms. Harris will win.
The New Statesman's model has provided near-daily projections of vote share estimates for each US state using a variety of polling and demographic data.
According to this model's assessment, as a general assessment, the election will be fierce in 7 battleground states: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.
President Joe Biden won six of these seven states in 2020, but Mr. Trump has now gained advantages in all of these states for a long time this year.
New Statesman forecasts that Ms. Harris will win four of the seven key battleground states, earning 273 electoral votes. Source: New Statesman
The New Statesman model is probabilistic and has a margin of error. Accordingly, the New Statesman predicts that Ms. Harris has a 51% chance of winning and 273 electoral votes. Mr. Trump has a 48% chance of winning and 265 votes.
Meanwhile, the election aggregator and analysis tool Fivethirtyeight has produced 100 simulations of election results, in which Ms. Harris's Democratic Party wins in 514 cases, Mr. Trump's Republican Party wins in 486 cases.
In contrast, the Economist has a biased prediction for Mr. Trump. According to the economic newspaper, “despite some optimistic polls for Ms. Harris, Mr. Trump could still win overwhelmingly.”
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9:15 p.m., November 5
Americans are excited to go to the polls, more than 81 million voters have cast their ballots.
According to initial statistics, after Election Day took place, more than 81 million ballots were cast nationwide, including early voting. In-person and mail-in voting has begun to take place in full swing across the United States.
Statistics in each state show growing enthusiasm among voters, showing that Americans are very interested in the White House race that is very important to the future of the world's number one economy. Note that the highest voter turnout rate in US history was only 66.6%, which was in the election 4 years ago when Mr. Trump lost to outgoing President Joe Biden.
US voters go to the polls in Wilmington, North Carolina early on the morning of November 5. Photo: CNN
In the 2024 presidential election, mail-in ballots tend to favor Democrats. According to a 2021 study by the MIT Election Data Science Lab, in 2020, 60% of Democrats reported voting by mail, compared with 32% of Republicans.
Long lines of people are now forming outside polling stations in the battleground state of North Carolina, as soon as the polls open at 6:30 a.m. ET. There were already 30 to 40 people in line when the doors opened, and the line has been growing.
Election workers count mail-in ballots in City of Industry, California on November 4. Photo: CNN
In Black Mountain, North Carolina, land conservationist JD Jorgensen, 35, did not reveal his choice after casting his ballot around 7 a.m. But when asked how he voted, he replied: "I choose the person I think will be best for the office they are running for."
Elsewhere, at the Gwinnett County Voter Registration and Elections office in Lawrenceville in another battleground state, Georgia, a line of people was already waiting to drop off absentee ballots in person early on the morning of November 5.
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18:52, November 5
8 states open polling stations, storms appear in many places
Polling places in eight states opened at 6 a.m. ET, including Connecticut, New Jersey, New York, New Hampshire, Virginia, Indiana and Kentucky.
In Maine, most polls open at 6 a.m. ET, but towns with fewer than 500 people can open as late as 10 a.m. ET.
The small New Hampshire town of Dixville Notch voted at midnight, a decades-old tradition, with Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump both winning the state's first three popular votes.
Several key battleground states are facing a powerful cold front on Election Day, bringing heavy rain and severe storms. Heavy rain fell in Texas, Missouri and Illinois, bringing with it numerous life-threatening flash flood warnings.
Trump supporters waited in the rain to attend his final campaign rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan, on November 4. Photo: CNN
The rain will continue to move eastward, bringing showers to Minnesota and the battleground states of Wisconsin and Michigan. In previous elections, rain has dampened turnout slightly.
In Wisconsin, the Storm Prediction Center has also issued a severe thunderstorm warning. Showers and even widespread thunderstorms could produce wind gusts of more than 60 mph and tornadoes.
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18:20, November 5
What happens after Election Day begins?
Once Election Day begins, American voters go to the polls to choose their state's slate of electors (representatives). These electors then directly vote for the new President and Vice President.
It is important that the electors elected in each state are pledged to vote for the candidate the ordinary voters have “authorized” (written on their ballots). Historically, it has been virtually impossible for electors to vote against the will of the electors. It is also important that the presidential candidate who wins the most electoral votes wins all the electoral votes in that state.
A ballot at the Mecklenburg County Board of Elections in Charlotte, NC. Photo: AP
After everyone has voted and the winning presidential candidate in each state has been named, each state's executive branch prepares a Certificate of Electoral Appointment, which lists the names of the electors and the number of votes cast. The certificate must be provided at least six days before the Electoral College vote for president in mid-December, even though this vote is considered a mere formality.
On January 6, the US Congress meets in a joint session to count the electoral votes. The President of the US Senate then declares the winner of the election. Notably, the current President of the US Senate is Kamala Harris. This means she would have to declare Mr. Trump the winner if he lost this year's race. On January 20, the new President and Vice President of the United States will be inaugurated.
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5:25 p.m., November 5
Washington DC is quiet before Election Day
Washington, DC isn't as busy as usual ahead of the 2024 US election. Traffic seems a little lighter, with fewer people out and about.
“The city is quiet, so quiet,” Manaye, an elderly Uber driver, said on Monday. “I guess everyone is watching the election at home,” he complained. There’s not much business for Uber drivers.
Some buildings along Pennsylvania Avenue, the street home to the White House, began preparing for safety on Friday, with workers blocking off street frontages with plywood. Office buildings and convenience stores are taking precautions.
Washington is on high alert because of memories of the Capitol riot on January 6, 2021, when an angry mob of Trump supporters and right-wing extremists stormed the US Capitol.
All 3,300 of D.C.'s qualified police officers will work 12-hour shifts "to ensure we have enough police on the streets and in every corner of the District," said Police Chief Pamela A. Smith.
Howard University is deserted and barricaded in preparation for Kamala Harris's appearance on Election Day. Photo: Annika Sost/DW
Harris will be in Washington on November 5. Her election night will be at Howard University, where she attended. Workers have erected metal barriers and police cars are visible in the area around the university. Meanwhile, Donald Trump will spend election night in West Palm Beach, Florida, not far from his Mar-a-Lago estate.
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15:35, November 5
Americans are going to the polls, the first 6 ballots have been counted.
Election Day has begun. Americans are going to the polls to elect their next President. The race for the White House is still very tight, with polls showing Ms. Harris leading and bookmakers favoring Mr. Trump.
The results table shows that Mr. Trump and Ms. Harris both won the first three votes in the 2024 US presidential election in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire. Photo: Reuters
The first six ballots of the 2024 presidential election have officially been counted in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire. Of the town's six registered voters, three voted for Vice President Kamala Harris and three for former President Donald Trump.
Now, Ms. Harris' campaign has ended in Philadelphia, while Mr. Trump has made his final push in Michigan. During his final campaign rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan, Mr. Trump had harsh criticism of Vice President Kamala Harris and the Democratic Party.
Ms. Harris campaigned late at night in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Photo: Reuters
Mr Trump's final campaign rally ended after nearly two hours of speaking, in which he reiterated many of his campaign promises, such as pledging to impose high tariffs and crack down on illegal immigration.
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14:48, November 5
Falling US dollar sends positive signal to Harris
While election observers are focused on opinion polls, financial markets are also sending signals about the likely outcome.
The US dollar fell to a two-week low on Monday, a sign the race is tilting in Kamala Harris’s favor. The greenback had rallied in October as markets priced in Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
It can be seen that Mr. Trump's tariff proposals are likely to lead to higher inflation, thereby pushing the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to raise interest rates.
When interest rates rise, global investors often seek dollar-denominated investments like government bonds to take advantage of higher yields. The value of currencies follows the same rules of supply and demand as other commodities; the more people buy dollars, the more their value increases.
But, like the polls, one detail that has kept the market from pointing to a clear outcome is that on Monday, shares of Trump Media & Technology Group, the parent company of the Truth Social platform, jumped 12% - a sign that investors are betting on the possibility of the Republican Party returning to the White House.
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12:40, November 5
Mr. Trump is still rated higher by bookmakers, gradually widening the gap.
Bookmakers still rate Donald Trump as the favorite to win this year's election over Kamala Harris, who is now on the rise again after a brief dip.
In recent weeks, former President Trump and his campaign have touted betting market forecasts as more accurate than traditional polls, as leading platforms put him ahead of Ms. Harris.
Bookmaker Polymarket rates Mr Trump's chances of winning as rising again after a period of decline.
Trump’s odds of winning, though down from about a week ago, are starting to climb again. Polymarket put them at 58% on Monday, down from 67% last week; Kalshi put them at 53%, down from 65%.
The odds of Mr Trump winning have dropped to 1.66 (bet 1 to 1.66), meaning the chance of winning is higher. The odds of Ms Harris winning have increased to 2.4 (bet 1 to 2.4). Source: Betfair
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11:35, November 5
Ms. Harris goes door-to-door in Pennsylvania
Amid the heat and tension in the race in the decisive battleground state of Pennsylvania, Ms. Harris is knocking on doors to campaign for votes for her in the Reading area of this state.
At one home, Ms. Harris met a family who said they had not yet voted but had decided. At another, a woman opened the door and Ms. Harris told the woman and her husband that she wanted to stop by as part of their effort to get out the vote. The woman said she had voted for Harris and that her husband would vote on Election Day.
Ms. Harris spoke with the couple about finding common ground and rejecting the divisions in America. Earlier, during a campaign in Pittsburgh, Ms. Kamala Harris declared: “It is time for a new generation of leaders to lead America.”
However, she stressed that the election was not over. “We still have work to do,” she said, encouraging those who had not yet voted to vote tomorrow and bring their friends along.
Meanwhile, in her ancestral home in India, people in the village of Thulasendrapuram are holding a special prayer for her victory.
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11:10, November 5
Is the tide turning in the battleground state of Pennsylvania?
Pennsylvania is considered to play a decisive role in the US presidential election, with 19 electoral votes. This is one of the three “Blue Wall” states that lean towards the Democratic Party. However, developments show that the race is very fierce, and the Republican Party is even showing signs of rising.
Change is happening little by little. And according to Fox News, a group of steelworkers in Pennsylvania unexpectedly attended a rally for former President Donald Trump on Monday night, even though their union had already announced its support for Vice President Kamala Harris.
Preliminary data on early voting results in Pennsylvania shows that more Democrats (blue) still voted, but the situation is gradually changing.
According to Politico, in the line of people waiting to enter the PPG Paints Arena stadium in Pittsburgh, the white and orange hard hats of steel workers mixed with Mr. Trump's signature MAGA hats, as he held the penultimate rally of his 2024 election campaign here.
While unions have long-standing ties to the Democratic Party, Ms. Harris lost three endorsements that had gone to President Biden in 2020, including the Teamsters, a union survey of whose members found more support for Mr. Trump.
Members of the "Steelworkers for Trump" group pose with Donald Trump during a campaign rally at Arnold Palmer Regional Airport in Latrobe, Pennsylvania, on October 19. Photo: AFP
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10:33, November 5
US intelligence warns of election interference
On Monday evening local time, just before Election Day 2024, the US intelligence community issued a statement warning of global efforts to manipulate American public opinion and the potential for violence associated with this situation.
The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency made the announcement in a joint statement on the matter.
The statement warned that these activities will increase between now and Election Day and are likely to continue in the weeks after, with a particular focus on battleground states.
The new statement comes after the intelligence community warned last Friday about a fake online video showing a Haitian citizen bragging about voting illegally in Georgia.
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10:20, November 5
Trump says he will impose tariffs to stop the "flow" of fentanyl
Candidate Donald Trump has warned that if re-elected, he will impose tariffs on Mexico unless Mexico acts to stop the flow of fentanyl into the United States.
Donald Trump campaigned in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Photo: Reuters
At a rally in Pittsburgh, Mr Trump said he would quickly crack down on drug trafficking along the US southern border with Mexico using tariffs. “We will immediately stop the flow of drugs across our border,” he said.
Mr. Trump announced that he would impose a 25% tax on goods imported from Mexico and do "the same thing with China."
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09:55, November 5
Poll worker arrested for bomb threat
A poll worker was arrested on Monday and charged with sending a letter threatening to bomb an elections office in Jones County, Georgia, the US Justice Department announced.
Nicholas Wimbish, 25, is accused of sending the threats after he got into an argument with a voter at the Jones County Elections Office on October 16, according to prosecutors.
The next day, he allegedly sent an anonymous letter to the Jones County elections director. According to the Justice Department, the letter allegedly stated that Wimbish and others “should be on guard”… Prosecutors said the letter was signed “PS toys at early voting site, cigars burning, be careful.”
Wimbish faces several charges, including mailing a bomb threat, communicating false information about a bomb threat, and making a false statement to the FBI. Prosecutors say he faces a maximum sentence of 25 years in prison if convicted.
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08:40, November 5
$2.6 billion spent on election advertising
The US presidential race has seen a whopping $2.6 billion spent on political ads since the start of March, according to a report released Monday by ad tracking firm AdImpact.
Democratic candidate Kamala Harris' campaign and groups supporting her have spent more than Republican candidate Donald Trump's campaign, $1.6 billion compared to $993 million.
The bulk — more than $1.8 billion — has been spent in seven battleground states that could decide the election: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Pennsylvania, seen as the most important battleground state, has spent $264 million on political ads since the beginning of September alone, more than any other state, according to the company.
The money generated more than 380 airplay ads that totaled nearly 1.5 million airtimes. Despite the deluge of ads, the race remained tight on the eve of US Election Day.
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07:50, November 5
Republicans unexpectedly take the lead
According to updated data and election result predictions from the website 270towin.com, up to this point, the Republican Party has unexpectedly taken the lead, winning 230 electoral votes, compared to the Democratic Party's 226. To win, a candidate needs to win at least 270 electoral votes.
Compared to last night, this is considered an impressive comeback for the Republican Party when they were predicted to only win 219 votes, while the Democratic Party still had 226 votes.
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07:05, November 5
Mr. Trump and Ms. Harris are both confident of victory before 'G hour'
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris were both confident of victory as they campaigned across Pennsylvania on Monday in the tense final day of the highly contested US presidential election.
Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event in Scranton, Pennsylvania on November 4, 2024. Photo: Reuters
However, polls show Mr Trump, 78, and Ms Harris, 60, are neck and neck. Both candidates gathered in the crucial battleground state of Pennsylvania on Tuesday to urge supporters who have not yet voted to come out on Election Day.
Pennsylvania provides the largest share of Electoral College votes among the seven battleground states expected to decide the outcome of the election.
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6:30 a.m., November 5
More than 80 million Americans have voted early.
More than 80 million Americans have already voted early on Election Day, according to the University of Florida Election Lab. That includes both early in-person and absentee ballots.
Voters line up to cast early ballots on November 2, 2024, in Charlotte, North Carolina. Photo: AP
Meanwhile, in four new national polls released Sunday and Monday, Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by 1%, but three other surveys show a tie in closely contested battleground states, making the race extremely unpredictable ahead of the election.
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9:30 p.m., November 4
78 million people have voted early
More than 78 million people have already voted in person or by mail early, according to data from the University of Florida Elections Research Lab, including 17.9 million votes in seven battleground states.
In states reporting party affiliation, 37.8% of early ballots cast are Democrats, while Republicans have cast 36.1% of ballots so far—a margin that continues to narrow as more votes are counted. Several swing states, including Georgia and Michigan, are not included in the party registration analysis. North Carolina has counted 4.5 million ballots, more than any other swing state.
Most states have some form of early voting by mail or in person. Both the Trump and Harris campaigns have urged their supporters to vote early, holding events and town halls focused on getting out the vote. Most of the 158 million people who voted in 2020 (about 101 million voters) voted early.
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Artificial intelligence predicts a narrow win for Ms. Harris
Vice President Kamala Harris is on track to win the 2024 presidential election by a narrow margin, according to a new AI-based analysis, with 276 electoral votes compared to Republican rival Donald Trump's 262.
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The 'amazing' confrontation between men and women
According to a recent survey by DailyMail.com and JL Partners, the gap in support between men and women for the two candidates is growing, revealing an unprecedented divide in American political history.
If the 2016 election was called an “education election” – where voters split based on education level – then 2024 is a gender contest.
The poll found that Mr. Trump leads by 22 percent among men, while Ms. Harris leads by 14 percent among women. This difference is especially impressive given the tight race between the two candidates.
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7 battleground states that will decide the race
Republican Donald Trump and Democratic Kamala Harris have their own scenarios to win the US election next Tuesday (November 5), but in the end, they both depend on the results in seven battleground states.
Ms. Harris is projected to win at least 226 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia, with large contributions from California (54 electoral votes), New York (28) and Illinois (19). Ms. Harris will need at least 44 of the 93 electoral votes in battleground states to reach the minimum 270 electoral votes needed for the presidency.
The Republicans are projected to win at least 219 electoral votes (compared to Harris’ projected 226) from 24 states nationwide, with big contributions from Texas (40), Florida (30) and Ohio (17). To reach 270 electoral votes, Mr. Trump will need at least 51 of the 93 votes in battleground states.
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Fears of violence erupting during and after the election
Officials in key battleground states are bracing for misinformation, conspiracy theories, threats and the potential for violence.
In Philadelphia, Detroit and Atlanta, officials have increased security to prevent a repeat of the chaos in 2020. Election offices in Philadelphia are now surrounded by barbed wire. In Detroit and Atlanta, some election offices are also protected by bulletproof glass.
In Wisconsin, election workers are trained in de-escalation techniques and polling places have been rearranged to allow for emergency exits in case of threats from protesters.
In Arizona, a hotbed of Republican claims of voter fraud in the 2020 election, the State Department is working with local officials to counter misinformation, including tackling fake images.
Businesses are closing in Washington as the US capital braces for the shocking violence that erupted after the 2020 vote.
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When is the election?
The US election will be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. The winner will serve a four-year term in the White House from his inauguration on January 20, 2025. Voters will not only elect the president but also members of the US House of Representatives and Senate.
What happens on election day?
A large majority of voters turned out and ballots were counted. Many people may have voted before the deadline using the mail-in voting system or early voting.
What time does the voting end?
Votes are counted in each state after the polls there close. Polls close at different times in each state, but usually start around 7 p.m. local time.
When do we get election results?
The winner may not be officially announced for several days. However, based on preliminary results, the winner is usually announced by pollsters and US media within a few days of the election. In 2020, the victory was announced for Joe Biden just four days after the vote.
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